|

CHF – Sellers still in control

$CHF looks poised to continue its downward progression, with .7628 to .7601 looking increasingly attractive. The rejection from the 9‑day M/S and the 23.6% Fib is telling, reinforcing that the broader trend in $Swissy remains firmly to the downside — a trend that has been in place for several years.

Once we broke through the congestion area from late Sept ’25 to Jan ’26, traders acted quickly, driving price sharply lower within just three days into the .7600 region.

For today, .7700 to .7712 stands out as the zone where sellers are likely to re‑enter. The Daily Pivot Point sits at .7686, and so far price has held this area. A break below the pivot today — combined with failure at the designated resistance levels — would not be supportive for the USD.

Keep in mind:

  • The break of the congestion zone.
  • The bounce from .7602 being capped at the 50% Fib.
  • The dominant multi‑year downtrend.

All of this points to sellers remaining firmly in charge on any rally.

Today’s Pivot Points:

DP: .7686.

R1: .7710.

R2: .7728.

R3: .7770.

R4: .7812.

S1: .7668.

S2: .7644.

S3: .7602.

S4: .7560.

Chart

Author

Carol Harmer

Carol Harmer

Charmer Trading

Carol Harmer has over 39 years experience of analysing and trading the world's markets and is undoubtedly one of the most respected technical trader in the world today.

More from Carol Harmer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD meets initial support around 1.1800

EUR/USD remains on the back foot, although it has managed to reverse the initial strong pullback toward the 1.1800 region and regain some balance, hovering around the 1.1850 zone as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Moving forward, market participants will now shift their attention to the release of the FOMC Minutes and US hard data on Wednesday.
 

GBP/USD bounces off lows, retargets 1.3550

After bottoming out just below the 1.3500 yardstick, GBP/USD now gathers some fresh bids and advances to the 1.3530-1.3540 band in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Cable’s recovery comes as the Greenback surrenders part of its advance, although it keeps the bullish bias well in place for the day.

Gold remains offered below $5,000

Gold stays on the defensive on Tuesday, receding to the sub-$5,000 region per troy ounce on the back of the persistent move higher in the Greenback. The precious metal’s decline is also underpinned by the modest uptick in US Treasury yields across the spectrum.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine extends ETH buying streak, says long-term outlook remains positive

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion continued its weekly purchase of the top altcoin last week after acquiring 45,759 ETH.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.