|premium|

Chart of the Week: WTI on the verge of significant decline?

  • WTI bears are stepping in at monthly resistance, and a downtrend is expected.
  • A retest of daily resistance could be on the cards first. 

The price of oil is retreating from cycle highs with a number of bearish fundamentals in play. 

From a technical perspective, the price is stacking up to be considerably bearish as follows:

Monthly chart

The monthly chart is showing that the price has met resistance and is being rejected. 

Bulls are taking profits, and this could lead to a significant sell-off to the prior resistance that meets the 50% mean reversion and the 61.8% Fibonacci levels between $67.10 and $64.80. 

Weekly chart

The weekly chart shows this more clearly within the range of the mid-March weekly candle. 

Daily chart

Meanwhile, from a daily perspective, the price would be expected to retest the prior lows in the $72.50s considering the M-formation:

The lows also have a confluence with the 50% mean reversion of the current bearish impulse:

This area would, therefore, be expected to act as a strong level of resistance and lead to an onward downside continuation in the coming week:

The targetted area is between the $67.50s and $65.30s. 

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

160.80: Japanese Yen remains close to nearly two-year lows

USD/JPY inches lower after four days of gains, trading around 160.60 during the Asian hours. The USD/JPY pair surged to 160.80 the previous day, marking its highest level since July 2024 and significantly heightening speculation that Japanese authorities could soon intervene to support the struggling Yen.

Australian Dollar remains in positive territory after paring recent gains

AUD/USD pares its daily gains, remaining in the positive territory and trading around 0.7010 during the European hours. The pair appreciated as the Australian Dollar received support from prevailing hawkish sentiment surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia’s policy outlook.

Gold adds to recent losses, remains below $4,250

Gold struggles to attract buyers on Thursday and remains in negative territory below $4,250 per troy ounce. The precious metal finds some support from the easing of tensions in the Middle East, which has helped stabilise market sentiment, but broad-based US Dollar strength following the Fed meeting continues to weigh on price action.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP pare losses on increasing bets of Fed tighter monetary policy

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly moderating downwards on Thursday, as market participants assess the impact of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish monetary policy stance.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.

The next big AI trade may not be about chips or software

Artificial intelligence has already created some of the biggest winners in modern market history. Chipmakers have surged, data centre construction is booming, and electricity demand forecasts are changing globally.