|

CFTC Positioning Report: Japanese Yen net longs in multi-month lows

Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data for the week ending July 29 showed that speculative bets on the Japanese Yen (JPY) remained net positive, even as traders trimmed their exposure. The broader backdrop during this period pointed to a renewed appetite for the US Dollar (USD), supported by solid economic data, fresh concerns around global trade, and a cautious tone ahead of the upcoming Fed meeting.


Non-commercial traders trimmed their net long exposure to the Japanese Yen (JPY), bringing holdings down to around 89.3K contracts — the lowest level since mid-February. Institutional players also pared back their net short positions, pushing overall bearish bets to a multi-month low of roughly 92.5K contracts. Meanwhile, open interest climbed to a seven-week high, surpassing 329K contracts. Against this backdrop of investor caution ahead of both the Fed and BoJ policy decisions, USD/JPY extended its rebound toward the 149.00 mark.


Speculators also turned more bearish on the US Dollar (USD) last week, increasing net short positions to a five-week high of about 4.2K contracts. This shift came alongside a slight dip in open interest to nearly 33K contracts. After briefly testing the 97.00 handle, the US Dollar Index (DXY) resumed its upward momentum, heading toward the key 99.00 level and pulling further away from multi-year lows.


In the Euro (EUR), speculative demand softened for a second consecutive week, with net long positions falling to a three-week low near 123.4K contracts. On the other side of the market, commercial players reduced their net short exposure to around 177.7K contracts — a four-week low. Total open interest slipped modestly to approximately 828.6K contracts. In the meantime, EUR/USD came under pressure, testing the critical 1.1500 support level.


Bearish sentiment also returned to the British pound for the first time since late February. Non-commercial traders turned net sellers by more than 12K contracts, while open interest rose to a seven-week high above 207.9K contracts. GBP/USD continued to decline, challenging the 1.3300 threshold, weighed down by a deteriorating economic outlook and growing fiscal uncertainty in the UK.


In commodities, net long positions in Gold slipped to two-week lows near 223.6K contracts, with open interest falling to around 445.2K. Gold prices faltered as the stronger US Dollar and easing trade concerns pressured the yellow metal lower, bringing it closer to the key $3,300 mark per troy ounce.


Finally, speculative net shorts on the VIX surged, reaching five-month highs of roughly 67.1K contracts, driven by a sharp increase in gross short positions. Open interest climbed to just over 443K contracts — levels not seen in nearly a year. The VIX itself remained in a consolidative range, hovering near yearly lows around the 15.00 mark.

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs toward 1.1800 on broad USD weakness

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and advances toward 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens and helps the pair stretch higher after the employment report showed that Nonfarm Payrolls declined by 105,000 in October before rising by 64,000 in November.

GBP/USD climbs to fresh two-month high above 1.3400

GBP/USD gains traction in the American session and trades at its highest level since mid-October above 1.3430. The British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data, while the US Dollar struggles to find demand following the mixed employment figures and weaker-than-forecast PMI prints, allowing the pair to march north.

Gold extends its consolidative phase around $4,300

Gold trades in positive above $4,300 after spending the first half of the day under bearish pressure. XAU/USD capitalizes on renewed USD weakness after the jobs report showed that the Unemployment Rate climbed to 4.6% in November and the PMI data revealed a loss of growth momentum in the private sector in December. 

US Retail Sales virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October

Retail Sales in the United States were virtually unchanged at $732.6 billion in October, the US Census Bureau reported on Tuesday. This print followed the 0.1% increase (revised from 0.3%) recorded in September and came in below the market expectation of +0.1%.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.