|

Bullion’s under-appreciated feature: It will never go to zero

Physical gold and silver will never become worthless. This fact does not make for much of a marketing pitch. But given recent events, this is a much more important feature than it looks at first glance.

Americans, and investors around the world, live in an age of collapsing confidence in institutions. The bubble economy built on zero interest rates by out-of-control central bankers appears to be in danger of implosion.

Companies can fail, and their share prices can go to zero. Bond issuers can default on their debt. This happens rarely in strong economies, but it can happen wholesale when bubbles pop.

Today’s markets are largely an exercise in mass psychology. Fundamentals don’t matter too much. What underpins value as much as anything is the belief that the next 20 years in markets will look a lot like the last 20.

Stocks and bonds both took a beating this year. Most investors probably aren’t operating on a thorough analysis of companies they own and the organizations they are lending to. They simply believe performance will get better.

Musk’s Twitter Overhaul Exposes Rot in Corporate America

Elon Musk and Matt Taibbi published internal communications demonstrating that Twitter communicated with the FBI and Democrat operatives to censor news about Biden family corruption on the eve of the 2020 presidential election.

It is hard to imagine markets doing well in a nation where so many citizens consider the government and major corporations to be corrupt. As bad as that is, there is another Twitter story which may have worse implications for stock and bond investors.

Elon Musk laid off 75% of Twitter’s staff and fired the senior management. Thus far, the company appears to be operating unimpaired.

In fact, Musk has reported user engagement in the platform is exploding.

Many large public companies are run for the exclusive benefit of senior management and employees, not shareholders. Excessive payrolls and management obsessed with ESG and other “woke” ideology are alienating many clients.

Leadership of corporations often appear unaccountable and at times outright hostile toward their customers. This certainly has not been priced into shares.

The problem is a breakdown of trust. Even well-run companies are not immune.

If society and markets were functioning properly, Elon Musk’s reforms at Twitter would be rewarded.

Instead, Musk is being punished by virtue-signaling executives at other large companies who are now cutting their advertising buys at Twitter – something they have been doing anyway given the difficult economy.

Officials threatened to ban Twitter in Europe unless Musk agrees to let them dictate which ideas and messages get heard.

How does someone know who to trust with their money these days? Wall Street bankers and money managers aren’t held in particularly high esteem. Many Americans consider them to be part of the problem.

Faith in media, including the financial press, is in steep decline.

FTX’s Sam Bankman-Fried was the darling of outlets like CNBC. The establishment press continues supporting Bankman-Fried as he makes the rounds with his “gosh, I am too dumb to know anything was wrong and I sure am sorry” routine. They aren’t focusing on the misappropriation of client funds.

If and when trust totally evaporates, the selling of stocks and bonds may be sudden and indiscriminate. There will be fewer people with the conviction to step in and buy dips. Widespread bankruptcies and debt defaults appear likely.

Gold, silver, and other tangible assets can’t go bankrupt and always hold value. In a world of perpetual growth and easy money that doesn’t sound too compelling. In the world we are being pulled into, it could be the only thing that matters.


To receive free commentary and analysis on the gold and silver markets, click here to be added to the Money Metals news service.

Author

Clint Siegner

Clint Siegner

Money Metals Exchange

Clint Siegner is a Director at Money Metals Exchange, the national precious metals company named 2015 "Dealer of the Year" in the United States by an independent global ratings group.

More from Clint Siegner
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls toward 1.1700 on broad USD recovery

EUR/USD turns south and declines toward 1.1700 on Wednesday. The US Dollar gathers recovery momentum and forces the pair to stay on the back foor, as traders look to USD short-covering ahead of US inflation report on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD trades deep in red below 1.3350 after soft UK inflation data

GBP/USD stays under strong selling pressure midweek and trades below 1.3350. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board ahead of Thurday's BoE policy announcements. 

Gold clings to moderate daily gains above $4,300

Following Tuesday's volatile action, Gold regains its traction on Wednesday and trades in positive territory above $4,300. While the buildup in the USD recovery momentum caps XAU/USD's upside, the cautious market stance helps the pair hold its ground.

Bitcoin risks deeper correction as ETF outflows mount, derivative traders stay on the sidelines

Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure, trading below $87,000 on Wednesday, nearing a key support level. A decisive daily close below this zone could open the door to a deeper correction.

Monetary policy: Three central banks, three decisions, the same caution

While the Fed eased its monetary policy on 10 December for the third consecutive FOMC meeting, without making any guarantees about future action, the BoE, the ECB and the BoJ are holding their respective meetings this week. 

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP slide further as risk-off sentiment deepens

Bitcoin faces extended pressure as institutional investors reduce their risk exposure. Ethereum’s upside capped at $3,000, weighed down by ETF outflows and bearish signals. XRP slides toward November’s support at $1.82 despite mild ETF inflows.