Bitcoin Analysis: Failure of bullish continuation pattern, Ethereum eyes trend line support


Bitcoin or BTC/USD traded flat lined around $2760 yesterday before a failure of the bullish continuation pattern opened doors for a drop to the current price of $2650. As per coinmarketcap.com, Bitcoin has lost 2% over the 24 hour period. The total market cap of the virtual currencies dropped to $91.48 billion from the previous day’s figure of $94.54 billion. The Bitcoin dominance rate has improved slightly to 48.0% from 47.5%. 

Technicals

Resistance

  • $2730 (2/1 Gann fan line)
  • $2869 (resistance on 4-hour)
  • $3000 (record high)

Support

  • $2608.27 (supp on 4-hour chart)
  • $2551 (upward sloping 4-hour 50-MA)
  • $2499 (38.2% Fib R of $1758.20-$2957)

4-hour chart - failure of bullish continuation pattern

The chart above shows a ‘sideways breach’ of the symmetrical triangle (bullish continuation pattern). As per textbook rules, the sideways breach represents pattern failure. The subsequent drop adds credence to the breach of the rising trend line and open doors for a sell-off to the 1-hour 50-MA level of $2550. The 4-hour RSI has turned bearish as well. 

Daily chart - dip demand likely around 10-DMA

The 10-DMA is still sloping upwards, while the RSI is nicely positioned for a rebound from the neutral territory. Dips to the 10-DMA level of $2526 could find fresh buyers. On the higher side, a move back above the 2x1 Gann fan line would open doors for $3000 levels. 

Ether eyes trend line support

Daily chart

  • Ether witnessed an upside break from the falling channel on July 20. But the virtual currency failed to gather pace in the subsequent days… Prices are currently trading at 4-day low of $212.20. 
  • The RSI has turned over in favor of the bears and the MACD shows the bearish move is about to gather pace. 
  • Thus, prices are likely to re-test the sliding trend line support currently seen around $175 levels. 

Bullish scenario: Only a daily close above the 2/1 Gann fan line would add credence to the bullish break of the falling channel and could yield $323.69 (June 28 high) levels. 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures