|

Australian Dollar/US Dollar tests 0.786 resistance Arc – Awaiting directional confirmation

Australian Dollar / US Dollar (AUD/USD): Arc cycle analysis

AUDUSD

Overview: Based on Arc Cycle Analysis applied to the 1h chart, AUD/USD is interacting with the 0.786 Resistance Arc within the current Arc Cycle. Price remains centered around this Arc, indicating that directional confirmation has not yet been established.

Chart

Market outlook

Price remains centered around the 0.786 Resistance Arc, indicating that the market has not yet established a directional bias within the current Arc Cycle. The preferred approach is to await confirmation before anticipating the next significant move.

A sustained 1h close above this Resistance Arc would favor continued movement toward the 1 (100%) Arc, while a sustained close below the Arc would shift the outlook toward the 0.618 Support Arc.

Author

Mohamad Gharib

Mohamad Gharib

Independent Analyst

Mohamad Gharib is a Financial Markets Analyst and Quantitative Researcher with more than 18 years of experience in financial markets, including 15 years as an FX Quant Trader.

More from Mohamad Gharib
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains stuck in tight range above 1.3600

GBP/USD extends its consolidation into a second consecutive day on Tuesday and fluctuates in a narrow band above 1.3600. The US Dollar stabilizes as investors assess US sanctions on Iran, while diplomatic efforts creep back amid reports that Pakistan is carrying an offer to Iran to halt the siege and lift sanctions under the Memorandum of Understanding.

EUR/USD stays below 1.1700 on modest US Dollar recovery

EUR/USD struggles to gather recovery momentum and trades below 1.1700 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) benefits from the cautious mood as investors assess the latest developments in the Middle East. Later in the day, the US economic calendar will feature consumer sentiment data for August.

Gold pauses near three-month high after sharp rally

Gold loses ground on Tuesday after setting a fresh three-month high of $4,697 earlier in the Asian session. Traders appear to be booking some profits following the recent rally, which has pushed the RSI into overbought territory.

Bitcoin's rally above $80,000 shows signs of overheating 

Bitcoin extends gains, trading above $80,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday following its strongest weekly rise in more than three years. Institutional demand continues to support this rally, with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording positive inflows on Monday.

Iran and Fed outlook remain uncertain after Bessent’s comments and ahead of Jackson Hole

Asia Market Update: Directionless trading continues for a 2nd straight session; Iran and Fed outlook remain uncertain after Bessent’s comments and ahead of Jackson Hole; Oman’s Foreign Minister will visit Tehran to Tues, Pakistan commented on MOU.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.