|

AUD/USD Forecast: Bulls eyeing an extension towards 0.7300 and beyond

AUD/USD Current Price: 0.7259

  • The Australian Trade Balance posted a surplus of 10,495 million in April.
  • Resurgent commodity prices provided additional support to the aussie.
  • AUD/USD is technically bullish and on its way to reaching fresh multi-week highs.

The AUD/USD pair trades near a daily high of 0.7269 and at levels last seen in April, as the broad greenback’s weakness coupled with rising US equities. The American dollar was weighed by softer US government bond yields, despite persistent inflation and growth concerns. Also, softer-than-anticipated US employment figures undermined demand for the greenback.

On the other hand, the Australian Trade Balance released at the beginning of the day posted a surplus of 10,495 million in April, beating expectations of 9,300 million. Exports were up 1% in the month, while imports decreased by 1%. Firmer commodity prices add to the aussie’s strength, as gold jumped to a one-month high while copper surged roughly 5%.

 On Friday, Australia will release the May AIG Performance of Construction Output, while S&P will publish the May Services PMI. The country will also publish April Home Loans and Investment Lending for Homes.

AUD/USD short-term technical outlook

The daily chart for the AUD/USD pair shows that it is currently hovering around the 200 SMA while above the shorter ones. Technical indicators, in the meantime, stand near overbought readings, with the Momentum partially losing its strength but the RSI still heading north, in line with a bullish continuation.

The 4-hour chart shows that the pair is well above a bullish 20 SMA, which keeps advancing above the longer ones. At the same time, technical indicators keep advancing well above their midlines, supporting a bullish extension toward 0.7300 and beyond.

 Support levels: 0.7225 0.7190 0.7150

Resistance levels: 0.7265 0.7300 0.7340

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains offered; supported by 0.7100

AUD/USD adds to Monday’s retracement, although it manages well to keep the trade above the 0.7100 yardstick ahead of the opening bell in Asia. Once again, the softer tone in spot follows decent gains in the Greenback amid rising bets for a Fed rate hike on Wednesday.

USD/JPY extends gains toward 155.00 amid USD resurgence

USD/JPY keeps pushing higher toward 155.00 early Tuesday, looking for more upside, as traders await the FOMC and BoJ meetings this week. Meanwhile, Fed rate-hike bets and oil-driven inflation risks keep US bond yields near multi-year highs, supporting the US Dollar and the pair. That said, a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ normalization path might continue to underpin the Japanese Yen and could limit USD/JPY's upside. .

Gold set to fall toward $4,000 as Warsh faces a Fed rate-hike dilemma

As the Federal Reserve monetary policy announcement approaches and the Middle East war intensifies, the US Dollar resumes its advance. Gold price posted a tepid attempt to recover its shine in early August, but with renewed USD demand, the bright metal faltered miserably and is now closer to the $4,000 mark than the encouraging $4,700 peak from a month ago.


Bitcoin pulls back as valuation ceilings hold while XAU weakness persists
Bitcoin (BTC) corrects alongside the broader cryptocurrency market on Tuesday as selling persists ahead of the United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision. Market participants expect the central bank to raise interest rates to 3.75%-4.00% on Wednesday, potentially weighing on risk assets.
How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.