|

AUD/USD analysis: failure at 0.7100 opens doors for fresh yearly lows

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7067

  • The Australian macroeconomic calendar has nothing to offer this week, Aussie vulnerable to sentiment.
  • AUD/USD nearing 0.7040, yearly low and bearish breakout point.

The Australian dollar advanced against its American rival up to 0.7105 at the beginning of the day, but it was all the way down since there through the European and American sessions. The positive tone of the pair was unable to overshadow another day of poor equities' performance, hurt by continued political jitters in the EU and prospects of slowing worldwide economic growth. US indexes are once again down, despite overall encouraging earnings reports. Meanwhile, the Australian macroeconomic calendar remains empty, with nothing out this Wednesday and nothing scheduled for Thursday.

The 4 hours chart for the AUD/USD pair shows that the early advance was contained by a bearish 100 SMA, with the pair now trading also below a bearish 20 SMA, which slowly accelerates below the larger one. This last is now converging with the 23.6% retracement of the October slide, reinforcing the static resistance level at around 0.7090. In the same chart, the Momentum indicator remains directionless below its mid-line but within familiar levels, but the RSI heads sharply lower near oversold readings, keeping the risk skewed to the downside. 0.7040, the yearly low, is a key support, with a break below it probably resulting in a steeper sell-off, particularly if the negative mood among equities' traders persists.

Support levels: 0.7040 0.7000 0.6960

Resistance levels: 0.7090 0.7120 0.7155

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.