|

AUD/USD analysis: break of 0.7640 exposes 0.7500 figure

AUD/USD Current price: 0.7668

  • AUD/USD poised to retest December low after breaking 0.7740.
  • Australian dollar to face a major challenge early Tuesday in the form of RBA quarterly inflation.

Bulls unwind their longs in AUD/USD after the technical breakout of the 0.7740 level, sending the pair to its lowest in a week, to finally close at 0.7669. Broad dollar's strength and softer-than-expected Australian data were behind the decline, exacerbated by the sour tone of equities and the retracement in commodities' prices. Australia won't release macroeconomic data this Monday, but early Tuesday, RBA Q1 inflation will be closely watched for directional clues. In the meantime, the pair trades near its March low of 0.7642, with a break below the level favoring a steeper decline down to 0.7501, December low. Technical readings in the daily chart support such slide as the pair closed well below its 20 DMA, while technical indicators head sharply lower within negative territory. Shorter term, and according to the 4 hours chart, the pair is biased lower, given that the Momentum indicator heads sharply lower near oversold territory, the RSI consolidates around 26, while the 20 SMA crossed below the 200 EMA almost vertically, and now stands a couple of pips above the mentioned 0.7740 level.

Support levels: 0.7640 0.7600 0.7565

Resistance levels: 0.7700 0.7740 0.7785   

View Live Chart for the AUD/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recedes to daily lows near 1.1850

EUR/USD keeps its bearish momentum well in place, slipping back to the area of 1.1850 to hit daily lows on Monday. The pair’s continuation of the leg lower comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar in a context of scarce volatility and thin trade conditions due to the inactivity in the US markets.

GBP/USD resumes the downtrend, back to the low-1.3600s

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Friday’s decent advance, refocusing on the downside and retreating to the 1.3630 region at the beginning of the week. In the meantime, the British Pound is expected to remain under the microscope ahead of the release of the key UK labour market report on Tuesday.

Gold looks inconclusive around $5,000

Gold partially fades Friday’s strong recovery, orbiting around the key $5,000 region per troy ounce in a context of humble gains in the Greenback on Monday. Additing to the vacillating mood, trade conditions remain thin amid the observance of the Presidents Day holiday in the US.

Bitcoin consolidates as on-chain data show mixed signals

Bitcoin price has consolidated between $65,700 and $72,000 over the past nine days, with no clear directional bias. US-listed spot ETFs recorded a $359.91 million weekly outflow, marking the fourth consecutive week of withdrawals.

The week ahead: Key inflation readings and why the AI trade could be overdone

It is likely to be a quiet start to the week, with US markets closed on Monday for Presidents Day. European markets are higher across the board and gold is clinging to the $5,000 level after the tamer than expected CPI report in the US reduced haven flows to precious metals.

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.