|

All Eyes on the Federal Reserve [Video]

Markets in Asia were mostly higher today as investors looked to a much-anticipated U.S. Federal Reserve meeting. EU bourses started the day mixed as investors await a speech from ECB President Mario Draghi. Yesterday, the German Dax dipped after Lufthansa issued a strong earnings warning.

US stock markets are also seen recording potential sideways pattern ahead of the Fed meeting later today. Overall, the Fed meeting is expected to be the most decisive event when it comes to the next big market move. Meanwhile, it is not getting much better on the data front. Yesterday in the US, the Empire State manufacturing index posted largest-ever drop into negative territory.  

China Confronts the US

Chinese President Xi demonstrated his close ties to North Korea with a visit right before the G20 meeting probably signalling to Donald Trump, that if he wants any progress with North Korea then he needs to go through China. Hu Xijin of the Global Times in China reports a tsunami of criticism against the US in the Chinese state media, priming the Chinese People for hard times and a trade war vs. the US.

Forex Preview:

The Aussie fell to fresh 5.5-month lows, breaking support to the downside, after the minutes of the Reserve Bank of Australia's June rate decision showed consensus among policymakers that further monetary easing would be appropriate. Elsewhere, the sterling wallowed near this year's lows on rising worries that Boris Johnson could put Britain on a path towards a dreaded no-deal Brexit. The USD traded slightly subdued ahead of tomorrow's Fed meeting with other currencies edging higher on a weaker dollar. Specifically, the EUR/USD has seen some moderate gains with a chance of heading back lower if the 2020 Italy budget matter becomes a problem again.

Oil Prices Move Slightly Lower

Oil prices noted slight losses of about -0.5% this morning, after more signs that global economic growth is being hit by U.S.-China trade tensions. Meanwhile the US/Iran conflict widened after the US announced that it would send troops to the region.

Gold and Bitcoin Enjoy Fresh Safe Haven Demand

Global concerns and a weaker dollar boosted safe-haven assets with gold prices retesting 2019 highs and edging higher to now aim for the $1350 mark.  Elsewhere, bitcoin reclaimed the 9k level and could be on its way to test the 10k level with heightened institutional interest and CME Futures trading volumes. Bitcoin prices have climbed more than 200% over the last several months, rising sharply amid strong demand and bullish momentum.

xauusd

Author

Alexander Douedari

Alexander Douedari

Independent Analyst

Alexander Douedari is an Award Winning Hedge Fund Manager and Selfmade 7-Figure Trader. Now Mentor for Students all around the world.

More from Alexander Douedari
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds firm near 0.7000 after Chinese inflation, trade data

AUD/USD stays firm near 0.7000 in Wednesday’s Asian session, picking up some bids after China's mixed inflation and upbeat trade data. CPI rose less than expected in September, while PPI inflation picked up. Meanwhile, the Chinese trade surplus unexpectedly widened in September. The pair remains underpinned by a broadly subdued US Dollar, despite the Middle East escalation, as focus remains on US CPI data.

USD/JPY consolidates near 158.50; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

USD/JPY stays range-bound near 158.50 in the Asian session on Wednesday, with looming intervention risks supporting the Japanese Yen and capping upside amid a softer US Dollar. However, geopolitical uncertainties act as a tailwind for the safe-haven USD and the pair. Traders also seem hesitant ahead of the release of the latest US inflation figures.

Gold looks to $4100 and US CPI inflation amid geopolitical risks

Gold falls for the third straight day on Wednesday, as the recent recovery falters ahead of US inflation. US Dollar pauses correction amid rising Oil prices and stabilizing US Treasury bond yields. The daily bearish RSI remains a headwind for Gold buyers, with $4,100 seen at risk.

Strategy bitcoin buying model faces scrutiny as STRC costs climb
Strategy’s (MSTR) STRC financing strategy increased its Bitcoin (BTC) holdings in H1, but made its capital structure more expensive, prompting an examination of its effectiveness, according to a Tuesday report by K33. STRC recovered close to its $100 par value, closing at $99.90 after an extended period of heavy buybacks.
What happens after a US Treasury market crash
The global bond market is under severe pressure as US Treasury yields reach multi-decade highs, driven by persistent inflation risk, heavy government and corporate debt issuance, and expanding term premiums. Higher yields raise borrowing costs and tighten financial conditions, but a severe bond selloff can ultimately shift investor focus from inflation to growth and financial stability.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?