|

A Few Hours of Pleasure, and Bears Have Had Enough

With a drumroll and a little more fanfare than usual, I asserted here the other day that the stock market was due for a nasty drubbing — a comeuppance for the hubris that has goosed the FAANG stocks into outer space. But if Wednesday’s humdrum retracement is the best that sellers can do, we permabears are going to have to resume a familiar position  — i.e., bent from the waist, hands gripping our ankles. When I say that price action was humdrum, I mean mild and predictable. Although the S&Ps were down almost 40 points in the early going, they’d recouped half of it by the final bell. As for being predictable, judge from the chart (see inset): The intraday low occurred almost exactly at the ‘D’ target of the pattern shown. Sellers were docile, orderly — and completely winded just 90 minutes after the session began. As I continue to remind subscribers, the bull market, now celebrating its tenth year, won’t end until portfolio managers wake up one morning in a cold sweat, asking themselves, What on earth have I done?? Until this epiphany comes, all they’ll need to do to maintain control of the markets is buy shares in the same half-dozen stocks they’ve obsessed over for years.

Chart

Author

Rick Ackerman

Rick Ackerman

Rick’s Picks

Barron’s once labeled Rick Ackerman an “intrepid trader” in a headline that alluded to his key role in solving a notorious pill-tampering case.

More from Rick Ackerman
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.70 as RBA hike becomes a done deal

The Aussie Dollar dives 0.10% versus the US Dollar as market sentiment deteriorates amid fading US-Iran peace hopes, pushing US bond yields higher while US equity markets fall. Also, price action remained subdued, ahead of the Reserve Bank of Australia monetary policy decision. The AUD/USD trades at 0.7016.

USD/JPY climbs back toward 158.00 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY finds dip-buyers and reverses part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish Minutes cap the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further supports the pair, driving it back toward 158.00.

Gold tumbles below $4.150 as US bond yields, oil prices rise

Gold price falls to near $4,125 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising US Treasury yields and expectations of further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes sap demand for the non-yielding metal.

HBAR, QNT rally as AI safety and tokenized deposits fuel institutional momentum​
Hedera (HBAR) and Quant (QNT) are among the crypto market’s strongest performers on Monday, as fresh developments around artificial intelligence (AI) and tokenized banking drive renewed institutional attention. HBAR briefly surged above $0.130 before settling around $0.123, gaining 30% over the past 24 hours.
The week ahead: A key moment for the global economy as threats rise

UK diesel hits a record, as economic concerns rise. The market expects an aggressive Fed rate hiking cycle, but is it necessary? Oil supply concerns ease, even as oil prices rise. What’s next for the AI trade.

Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.