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WTI Price Analysis: Teasing a pennant breakdown, eyes $38 mark ahead of EIA

  • WTI drops amid risk-off mood, bearish technical set up.
  • Risks remain to the downside, with eyes on $38 ahead of EIA.
  • Hourly RSI points south, probing the oversold zone.

WTI (futures on NYMEX) is looking to extend Tuesday’s sell-off, as bears gear up for a test of the $38 level amid broad risk-aversion and a potential bear pennant breakdown on the hourly chart.

Tuesday’s over 3% drop and the subsequent consolidation carved out a bear pennant formation on the said time frame, with the price now teasing a breakdown, as we write.

An hourly closing below the rising trendline support at $39.01 could validate the pattern, exposing the target measured at $38.

Ahead of that level, Tuesday’s low of $38.53 could test the bears’ commitment. Backing the case for more declines, the hourly Relative Strength Index (RSI) edges lower, currently at 33.51, probing the oversold territory.

Alternatively, the bearish 21-hourly Simple Moving Average (HMA) at $39.15 could limit immediate bounce from lower levels.

Robust resistance around the $40 mark is the level to beat for the bulls. The 50 and 100-HMA approach each other at the level.

WTI hourly chart

fxsoriginal

WTI additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price38.81
Today Daily Change-0.39
Today Daily Change %-0.99
Today daily open39.21
 
Trends
Daily SMA2039.54
Daily SMA5041.14
Daily SMA10039.28
Daily SMA20040.23
 
Levels
Previous Daily High40.8
Previous Daily Low38.53
Previous Weekly High41.51
Previous Weekly Low38.92
Previous Monthly High43.86
Previous Monthly Low39.75
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%39.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%39.93
Daily Pivot Point S138.23
Daily Pivot Point S237.25
Daily Pivot Point S335.96
Daily Pivot Point R140.49
Daily Pivot Point R241.78
Daily Pivot Point R342.76

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
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