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WTI Price Analysis: Drops to test 100-HMA once again, API in focus

  • WTI fails to sustain the uptrend above $69, turns into the red zone.
  • The US oil challenges the key 100-HMA support at $68.19.
  • Bearish RSI suggests more losses in the offing, with eyes on API data.

WTI (NYMEX futures) is snapping its two-day advance on Tuesday, reversing towards the $68 mark, as investors assess the impact of the hurricane IDA ahead of Thursday’s OPEC+ meeting.

The black gold is shrugging off the broad US dollar weakness, as profit-booking seems to be the main theme heading into the American Petroleum Institute’s (API) weekly crude stockpiles data.

From a short-term technical perspective, WTI bears are back in control after the bulls failed to find acceptance above the $69 threshold earlier this Tuesday.

The renewed downside pressure knocked off WTI firmly below the horizontal 21 and 50-hourly moving averages (HMA), as the bears now challenge the ascending 100-HMA at $68.19.

The risks remain to the downside, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is pointing south below the midline.   

If the 100-HMA support gives way, then a drop towards Monday’s low of $67.6 remains inevitable.

Further south, the upward-sloping 200-HMA at $66.35 could be on the sellers’ radar.

WTI: Hourly chart

On the upside, acceptance above the 50-HMA at $68.65 to recapture the 21-HMA hurdle at $68.81.

However, only an hourly close above the $69 mark could call for a sustained upswing towards the $70 psychological level.

WTI: Additional levels to watch

WTI

Overview
Today last price68.29
Today Daily Change-0.73
Today Daily Change %-1.06
Today daily open69.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA2067.23
Daily SMA5070.32
Daily SMA10068.16
Daily SMA20061.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High69.5
Previous Daily Low67.61
Previous Weekly High68.91
Previous Weekly Low61.73
Previous Monthly High76.4
Previous Monthly Low64.99
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%68.78
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%68.33
Daily Pivot Point S167.92
Daily Pivot Point S266.82
Daily Pivot Point S366.03
Daily Pivot Point R169.8
Daily Pivot Point R270.6
Daily Pivot Point R371.69

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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