|

WTI Price Analysis: A pullback towards $100.00 is on the cards

  • The 200-EMA is providing a cushion to the asset.
  • A re-test of the descending triangle chart pattern will put forward a bargain buy for investors.
  • The RSI (14) seems to tumble near the oversold trajectory.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, has witnessed a steep fall since Monday after failing to sustain above the barricade of $108.00 on Monday. The asset has experienced a sheer downside and is balancing near the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which is at $101.48.

On a four-hour scale, the oil prices are facing selling pressure after a strong rally post the breakout of the descending triangle formation. The horizontal support of the chart pattern is placed from March 15 low at $92.37 while the descending trendline is plotted from March 8 high at $126.51. The asset has slipped below the 20-EMA at $104.20, which signals a short-lived downside move.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has slipped back to near 40.00 after oscillating in a bullish range of 60.00-80.00. This reflects a best-case scenario of entering into a bullish asset at oversold levels. The momentum oscillator is more likely to find support near the 30.00-40.00 range.

A pullback towards the psychological support of $100.00 will be a bargain buy for the market participants, which will send the asset towards April 13 high at $104.02, followed by Monday’s high at $109.13.

On the flip side, the asset may lose strength if it drops below April 8 high at $98.26. This will drag oil prices to March 15 low and February 25 low at $92.37 and $89.59 respectively.

WTI four-hour chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price102.33
Today Daily Change-4.59
Today Daily Change %-4.29
Today daily open106.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.66
Daily SMA50100.33
Daily SMA10088.87
Daily SMA20081.42
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.13
Previous Daily Low105.4
Previous Weekly High107
Previous Weekly Low92.65
Previous Monthly High126.51
Previous Monthly Low92.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%107.7
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%106.82
Daily Pivot Point S1105.17
Daily Pivot Point S2103.43
Daily Pivot Point S3101.45
Daily Pivot Point R1108.9
Daily Pivot Point R2110.87
Daily Pivot Point R3112.62

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.