|

WTI pierces above $95.00 as Ukraine President Zelensky reveals Feb 16 as the day of Russia invasion

  • Increasing tensions of a war between Ukraine/Russia keep oil prices rising, almost 2% in the day.
  • Satellite images show Russian troops leaving assembly points – per CBS News.
  • WTI Technical Outlook: Upward biased, as geopolitical tensions maintain oil bulls eyeing $100.

US crude oil benchmark, Western Texas Intermediate (WTI), barely advances, following Friday’s jump of 3.78%. At the time of writing, WTI is trading at $94.00, almost flat.

Geopolitical events dampened the market mood in the financial markets. Russia’s intentions of a possible invasion of Ukraine keep crude oil prices upward pressured, based on the fact that a war may trigger Russia’s sanctions to western countries, including cutting supplies of natural gas and oil. (Russia is the third-largest producer of natural gas and crude.)

Ukraine President Zelensky informed that February 16th would be the day of the attack, tensions elevate, and oil jumps

Around 18:50 GMT, crossed the wires that satellite images show Russian troops leaving assembly points and moving to attack positions, as reported by CBS News. Alongside that development, the Wall Street Journal reported that the US is closing its embassy in Kyiv and relocating its diplomatic operations to Western Ukraine. Furthermore, Ukraine President Zelensky said that Ukraine “has been informed” that Wednesday, February 16th “will be the day of the attack.”

WTI’s Reaction

At the headline, WTI’s jumped almost $2.00, and at 19:09, GMT is trading at $95.20 as tensions arise, despite efforts from finding a diplomatic way to end this conflict.

Meanwhile, OPEC Secretary-General Mohammad Barkindo told reports that “there’s no doubt that we are concerned with ensuring that the security of supply is also guaranteed.” However, emphasized that if demand continues to grow at the group projections, “the world will continue to be thirsty for oil for the foreseeable future,” Barkindo noted.

WTI Price Forecast: Technical outlook

WTI is upward biased and is trading above February’s 11 daily close at $93.88, though the upward move appears to stall at the mid-line between the top-central lines of Pitchfork’s uptrend channel, around $95.00, which once broken would expose $100.00.

Nevertheless, WTI’s would face some hurdles on its way north. The first resistance would be $95.00. A daily close above that level would expose August’s 2014 swing highs round 98.55, followed by a probe of $100.00, followed by the top-line of Pitchfork’s channel around $102.00

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price93.53
Today Daily Change1.32
Today Daily Change %1.43
Today daily open92.21
 
Trends
Daily SMA2087.16
Daily SMA5079.73
Daily SMA10078.94
Daily SMA20074.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High93
Previous Daily Low87.99
Previous Weekly High93
Previous Weekly Low87.44
Previous Monthly High88.22
Previous Monthly Low74.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%91.09
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%89.9
Daily Pivot Point S189.13
Daily Pivot Point S286.06
Daily Pivot Point S384.12
Daily Pivot Point R194.15
Daily Pivot Point R296.08
Daily Pivot Point R399.16

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls hard to test 0.7100 amid risk aversion

AUD/USD is under intense selling pressure in Friday's Asian trading, attacking the 0.7100 level. Broad risk-aversion amid US-Iran uncertainty, combined with weak Australian GDP data, weighs heavily on the higher-yielding Australian Dollar. All eyes now remain on the US NFP report for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY coiling up around 160.00 amid 'Yentervention' threats

USD/JPY sits glued near 160.00 in Asia on Friday, as the Japanese Yen remains supported by persistent 'Yentervention' threats by Japan's officials. However, the pair's downside remains capped by the Mideast tensions-led risk-off mood and the US Dollar's bullish consolidation.

Gold drops back toward $4,400 on US-Iran standoff, US NFP eyed

Gold price returns to the red and approaches $4,400 in the Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 


DeFi hack losses drop 80% from 2022 peak as security defenses improve — Immunefi

Losses from decentralized finance exploits have fallen by 80% since reaching a record high in 2022, according to a report released by Immunefi. The report, which analyzed exploit-driven losses across major blockchain ecosystems between 2020 and 2025, found that DeFi protocol losses declined from $2.62 billion in 2022 to $534 million in 2024.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.