|

WTI pares majority of daily gains, stays above $57

  • Crude oil pushes higher on Monday on Forties pipeline supply disruption.
  • The labor strike in Nigerian energy industry kicks off on Monday.
  • US shale output undermines OPEC's effort to balance the market.

Crude oil prices gained traction at the start of the week amid rising concerns over supply disruptions from Nigeria and Forties pipeline, and the barrel of West Texas Intermediate advanced to a daily high of $57.80 before losing its momentum.

Despite the positive start, however, further developments on the subjects mentioned above made it difficult for oil to extend its gains. The Petroleum and Natural Gas Senior Staff Association of Nigeria announced that they were negotiating with officials from the labor ministry. Meanwhile, the operator of the North Sea Forties pipeline said that the crack, which caused the shutdown of the 450,000-barrels-per-day delivering physical line last week, hadn't spread, easing concerns over a longer-than-expected supply disruption.

"There is still no reliable information about how long the repair work will last, and when the pipeline will go back into operation, this should preclude any fall in the Brent price for the foreseeable future," Commerzbank told Reuters on Monday.

On the other hand, although the Baker Hughes rig count showed its first decline in six weeks last week, the shale production in the U.S., which is now about 9.8 million barrels per day, continues to undermine OPEC's efforts to balance the oil market. In a report that was published last week, the International Energy Agency said global oil markets would show a supply surplus of around 200,000 bpd in the first half of 2018.

Technical outlook

The barrel of WTI could encounter the first hurdle at $57.80/85 (Daily high/Dec. 13 high) ahead of $59 (Nov. 24 high) and $60 (psychological level). On the downside, supports are located at $56.10 (Dec. 14 low), $55 (psychological level) and $53.90 (Nov. 1 low). 

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers some early losses driven by rising energy prices amid US-Iran war

The EUR/USD pair claws back some of its early losses during the late Asian trading session on Monday, but is still 0.25% down to near 1.1780. Earlier in the day, the Euro declined sharply against the US Dollar as investors shifted to the safe-haven fleet amid the brutal war between Iran, Israel, and the United States, which broke out over the weekend.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold looks further north as Iran war boosts haven demand

Gold is taking a breather after the initial run to over one-month highs near $5,400, kicking off the new week with a bang. A global flight to safety theme, following the US-Israel joint attacks on Iran over the weekend, bolstered the demand for the traditional store of value, Gold.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple under pressure as key supports face breakdown risk

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices trade on the back foot at the start of this week on Monday, after extending losses in the previous week. BTC is on the brink of a breakdown, ETH is capped below key resistance, and XRP risks a crack of the trendline.

The market is paying for insurance, not apocalypse

As expected, this morning felt less like a Monday market open and more like a fire drill. Futures screens flickered red. S&P contracts down almost 1%. Nasdaq off 1.2%. Brent leaped 13% through $80. Gold rose 1.6% toward $5350 before paring some gains. The dollar is strutting mildly. The Swiss franc is quietly doing what it always does in a storm, catching some safe-haven flows.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.