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USD/MXN Price Analysis: Climbs from weekly lows, eyeing $19.00

  • USD/MXN recovers some ground after dropping to weekly lows of 18.8231.
  • Despite the ongoing upward correction, the USD/MXN is still downward biased.
  • USD/MXN: Failure to crack 19.0000 could exacerbate a retest of the YTD lows of 18.50.

The Mexican peso (MXN) is losing ground against the US Dollar (USD) after recovering some ground on Tuesday, following “dovish” perceived remarks by the  US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. The USD/MXN dropped from around 19.1783 towards the week’s lows at 18.8691, but on Wednesday, the buck is recovering. At the time of writing, the USD/MXN exchanges hands at 18.9475, above its opening price by 0.17%.

USD/MXN Price Analysis: Technical outlook

Before Wall Street opened, the USD/MXN pair was trading at around the day’s lows, around 18.8231. However, a risk-off impulse increased demand for the US Dollar, so the USD/MXN is moving upwards.

The USD/MXN daily chart suggests further downside is expected, but the ongoing correction could open the door for further gains. At the time of typing, the USD/MXN has broken the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $18.9134 and could extend its gains towards 19.0000, a psychological resistance. A breach of the latter and the USD/MXN could rally toward January 19 daily high at 19.1085.

For the resumption of the downtrend, the USD/MXN needs a break below the 20-day EMA at 18.9134. Once cleared, that would expose critical support levels. Firstly, the February 7 low of 18.8691, followed by the day’s low at 18.8231, and then the YTD low at 18.50

USD/MXN Key Technical Levels

USD/MXN

Overview
Today last price18.9069
Today Daily Change0.0169
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open18.89
 
Trends
Daily SMA2018.8312
Daily SMA5019.238
Daily SMA10019.5137
Daily SMA20019.8253
 
Levels
Previous Daily High19.1794
Previous Daily Low18.872
Previous Weekly High18.9885
Previous Weekly Low18.5082
Previous Monthly High19.5361
Previous Monthly Low18.5663
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%18.9894
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%19.062
Daily Pivot Point S118.7816
Daily Pivot Point S218.6731
Daily Pivot Point S318.4741
Daily Pivot Point R119.089
Daily Pivot Point R219.2879
Daily Pivot Point R319.3964

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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