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USD/JPY slides to 105.00 neighborhood, near two-week lows

  • USD/JPY dropped to two-week lows amid the emergence of some fresh USD selling.
  • Fading safe-haven demand undermined the JPY and helped limit deeper losses.
  • A sustained break below the 105.00 mark will pave the way for additional weakness.

The USD selling bias picked up pace during the early North American session and pushed the USD/JPY pair to near two-week lows, around the 105.15 region in the last hour.

The US dollar remained depressed on the back of fading hopes over additional US fiscal stimulus measures and the political uncertainty ahead of the upcoming US presidential election on November 3. Adding to this, a weaker tone surrounding the US Treasury bond yields further undermined the greenback and exerted some additional downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair.

However, a positive opening in the US equity markets dented demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the Japanese yen. The upbeat market mood, in turn, was seen as the only factor that helped limit deeper losses for the USD/JPY pair, at least for the time being. This makes it prudent to wait for some follow-through selling before placing any aggressive bearish bets.

On the economic data front, the Producer Price Index (PPI) in the US ticked higher to 0.4% MoM in September from 0.3% recorded in the previous month. On a yearly basis, the PPI rose to 0.4% from -0.2% and came in higher than the market expectation of 0.2%. The data, however, did little to impress bullish traders or provide any meaningful impetus to the USD/JPY pair.

Meanwhile, Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin reiterated that the US central bank will aim to keep rates low until they see moderate overshoots of inflation. Separately, Federal Reserve's Vice Chairman Richard Clarida said that the Fed is committed to using its full range of tools to support the economic recovery and that it would perhaps take another year before the US GDP reaches the pre-pandemic peak.

It will now be interesting to see if the USD/JPY pair is able to find any support at lower levels or breakt hrough the key 105.00 psychological mark. Some follow-through weakness below monthly swing lows, around the 104.94 level will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and pave the way for a slide back towards challenging the 104.00 mark.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price105.22
Today Daily Change-0.26
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open105.48
 
Trends
Daily SMA20105.38
Daily SMA50105.79
Daily SMA100106.46
Daily SMA200107.44
 
Levels
Previous Daily High105.63
Previous Daily Low105.28
Previous Weekly High106.11
Previous Weekly Low105.28
Previous Monthly High106.55
Previous Monthly Low104
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%105.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%105.41
Daily Pivot Point S1105.3
Daily Pivot Point S2105.12
Daily Pivot Point S3104.95
Daily Pivot Point R1105.64
Daily Pivot Point R2105.81
Daily Pivot Point R3105.99

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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