|

USD/JPY Price Forecast: US Dollar rebounds towards 159.00 as bulls target 160.00

  • USD/JPY rebounds from 20-day SMA, resuming short-term bullish trajectory.
  • RSI turns higher above 50, signaling renewed upside momentum strength.
  • Break above 159.00 opens the path toward 159.50 and 160.00 levels.

USD/JPY resumes its upward trajectory on Tuesday after testing the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 158.10 on Monday, rising towards 159.00, posting gains of over 0.14%.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical Outlook

The USD/JPY remains bullish-biased, even though Monday’s reversal opened the door to testing lower prices, such as the March 5 pivot low at 156.45. A day ago, bullish momentum was fading, but as of writing, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is aiming higher, above its neutral 50 level.

If USD/JPY ends the day above 159.00, expect a test of 159.50, followed by 160.00. Nevertheless, fears of a possible intervention by Japanese authorities could keep the pair trading sideways.

On the downside, the USD/JPY first support would be the 20-day SMA at 158.10. A breach of the latter will expose 157.50, followed by 157.00, and the March 5 cycle low at 156.45. Once those two levels are taken out, the next support is the 100-day SMA at 156.20.

USD/JPY Price Chart – Daily

USD/JPY Daily Chart

Japanese Yen Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this week. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.70%-0.83%-0.52%0.20%-0.11%-0.45%-0.08%
EUR0.70%-0.12%0.18%0.92%0.58%0.27%0.63%
GBP0.83%0.12%0.26%1.04%0.73%0.38%0.68%
JPY0.52%-0.18%-0.26%0.70%0.41%0.05%0.35%
CAD-0.20%-0.92%-1.04%-0.70%-0.29%-0.65%-0.29%
AUD0.11%-0.58%-0.73%-0.41%0.29%-0.34%-0.04%
NZD0.45%-0.27%-0.38%-0.05%0.65%0.34%0.30%
CHF0.08%-0.63%-0.68%-0.35%0.29%0.04%-0.30%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD climbs to two-day highs past 1.3200

GBP/USD picks up extra pace and surpasses the 1.3200 threshold on Thursday. That said, Cable manages to shrug off initial weakness and regain balance on the back of the fresh selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD stays consolidative around 1.1370

EUR/USD regains momentum and trades with modest gains around 1.1370 ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair sets aside three daily declines in a row and picks up pace on the back of the lacklustre performance of the US Dollar, particularly after US data failed to reinforce Fed rate hike bets.

Gold bounces from 2026 lows, remains pressured

Gold reverses part of its recent weakness on Thursday, managing to reclaim the area just above the $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal regains traction on the back of renewed selling interest in the Greenback, although expectations of rate hikes by the Fed are likely to keep buyers on the sidelines for now.

Three reasons to avoid buying Bitcoin at $60,000
Bitcoin (BTC) hovers around $62,000 on Thursday, recovering from a brief dip below $60,000 the previous day. Although dip buyers anticipate a rebound in BTC from its psychological support zone, bearish signals from the upcoming Bitcoin options expiry, Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) outflows, and large-wallet investor activity warn that selling could snowball in the coming period.
Micron prints perfect, and now the chart has to answer
Memory’s biggest name just delivered the cleanest quarter of its life, and the most interesting thing about it is that the stock isn’t sure what to do with it. Micron closed out fiscal Q3 with revenue of $41.5 billion, up 346% on the year, a fifth straight record. Gross margin came in at 84.9%, up from 39% the same quarter a year ago. Earnings landed at $25.11 against a Street sitting near $20.49.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.