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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Pullback from YTD highs, intervention threats weight on the USD

  • USD/JPY trades lower, retreating from its year-to-date (YTD) high amid signals of potential intervention by Japanese authorities.
  • Despite the upward bias, USD/JPY may extend its losses below the 144.00 mark, potentially reaching the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 142.95.
  • Resistance levels lie at the YTD high of 145.07 and the May 10 high of 146.59.

USD/JPY retreats from the year-to-date (YTD) high of 145.07, extending its losses below the 144.10 area, as the US Dollar (USD) weakens despite US Treasury bond yields, particularly the 10-year benchmark note rate edged above the 4.00% threshold. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY exchanges hand at 144.06, down 0.40%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

USD/JPY price action suggests the pair is headed for a deeper pullback after Japanese authorities threatened to intervene in the Forex market. The USD/JPY remains upward biased, but the pullback could extend past the 144.00 mark toward the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 142.95.

Of note, the USD/JPY achieved a daily close below the July 3 daily open of 144.08. That could exacerbate a drop below 144.00, exposing the 143.50 psychological level, followed by the 20-day EMA at 142.95. Downside risks will emerge at the June 21 daily high of 142.37, followed by the 142.00 mark.

On the upside, immediate resistance lies at the year-to-date (YTD) high of 145.07, followed by the May 10 high at 146.59.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily chart

USD/JPY Daily chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price144.05
Today Daily Change-0.61
Today Daily Change %-0.42
Today daily open144.66
 
Trends
Daily SMA20142.37
Daily SMA50139.44
Daily SMA100136.62
Daily SMA200137.24
 
Levels
Previous Daily High144.74
Previous Daily Low144.08
Previous Weekly High145.07
Previous Weekly Low142.94
Previous Monthly High145.07
Previous Monthly Low138.43
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%144.49
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%144.33
Daily Pivot Point S1144.25
Daily Pivot Point S2143.84
Daily Pivot Point S3143.59
Daily Pivot Point R1144.9
Daily Pivot Point R2145.15
Daily Pivot Point R3145.56

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
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