|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Double bottom looms as bulls prepare a move towards the YTD high at 116.35

  • The US Treasury yields rally underpins the USD/JPY as it gains close to 0.70%.
  • Overall, US dollar strength across the board weighs on the USD/JPY pair.
  • USD/JPY Technical Outlook: Upward biased, as shown by the DMAs under the exchange rate, alongside a double-bottom chart pattern.

Market mood improvement, spurred by reports of another round of talks between Russia-Ukraine, and higher US Treasury yields benefited the greenback. The USD/JPY rallies for the first time in the week, up some 0.70% in the day, trading at 115.63 at the time of writing.

Portraying the market’s sentiment, European equities finished Wednesday’s session in the green, while US stocks are advancing. US Treasury yield trims some of Tuesday’s sharp losses, led by the 10-year benchmark note rising 13 basis points, up at 1.844%. Higher yields are underpinning the greenback, with the US Dollar Index gaining 0.15%, sitting at 97.580.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlook

After recording a low at 114.78, the USD/JPY has climbed steadily since the beginning of Wednesday’s Asian session. In the last three hours, it dipped from the R2 daily pivot at 115.63 to Tuesday’s high at 115.28 before resuming the uptrend, as USD/JPY bulls prepare an attack of the YTD high at 116.35.

The USD/JPY is upward biased, as depicted by two factors. Firstly, the daily moving averages (DMAs) reside below the spot price, and second, a potential double-bottom pattern in the daily chart. That said, the USD/JPY first resistance level would be the neckline around 115.78. Breach of the latter would expose 116.00, followed by the YTD high at 116.35.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price115.6
Today Daily Change0.78
Today Daily Change %0.68
Today daily open114.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA20115.22
Daily SMA50114.98
Daily SMA100114.41
Daily SMA200112.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High115.29
Previous Daily Low114.7
Previous Weekly High115.76
Previous Weekly Low114.41
Previous Monthly High116.34
Previous Monthly Low114.16
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%114.93
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%115.06
Daily Pivot Point S1114.59
Daily Pivot Point S2114.35
Daily Pivot Point S3114
Daily Pivot Point R1115.18
Daily Pivot Point R2115.53
Daily Pivot Point R3115.77

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays positive near 1.3450 after UK jobs data

GBP/USD recovers ground and tests 1.3450 in early Europe on Tuesday. The UK ILO Unemployment Rate remained at 4.9% in the three months to May, compared with expectations of 5%, but fails to provide any impetus to the British Pound's renewed uptick. Traders stay cautious amid US-Iran uncertainty and the UK political transition.

EUR/USD steadies above 1.1400, awaits German ZEW Survey

EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1400 mark in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any directional impetus amid a subdued US Dollar price action and ahead of the German ZEW Survey.


Gold: Acceptance above 21-day SMA at $4,065 is critical for buyers

Gold is building on its recovery from two-week lows of $4,024 reached last Friday, extending the winning streak into a third straight day on Tuesday. XAU/USD is capitalizing on the ongoing pullback in Oil prices from monthly highs near $84.50. The black gold is retreating for a second day in a row on emerging signs of diplomatic efforts to ease the US-Iran conflict.

Shiba Inu price extends gains as on-chain and derivatives metrics confirm bullish bias

Shiba Inu extends gains, trading above $0.0000042 after breaking above the descending trendline the previous day. Strengthening on-chain data and improving derivatives metrics support further gains for the meme coin. CryptoQuant’s exchange netflow chart below shows five consecutive days of net outflows since July 17.

Brent nears a critical crossroads as the global economy faces one too
Markets spent last Friday digesting a Reuters report that Iran has told the Houthis to stand ready to close Bab el-Mandeb if the US strikes Iranian power infrastructure — missiles and drones are reportedly already positioned near the strait, awaiting the order from IRGC officers in Yemen.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.