|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls challenge symmetrical triangle resistance

  • USD/JPY added to its recent positive move and gained traction for the third straight session.
  • The formation of a bullish pennant on the daily chart supports prospects for further gains.
  • Only a sustained break below the 109.40-35 region will negate the near-term positive bias.

The USD/JPY pair edged higher for the third consecutive session on Tuesday and climbed to one-and-half-week tops, around the 110.15 region during the first half of the European session.

The USD/JPY pair was last seen hovering near a resistance marked by a downward sloping trend-line, extending from YTD tops touched in March. This, along with another ascending trend-line, constitutes the formation of a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart.

Given the strong positive move from YTD lows, or sub-103.00 levels touched in January, the mentioned triangle might be categorized as a bullish continuation pennant chart pattern. A sustained move beyond will set the stage for an extension of the near-term appreciating move.

The constructive setup is reinforced by the fact that oscillators on the daily chart have just started gaining positive traction. A subsequent move beyond monthly swing highs, around the 110.30-35 region will reaffirm the bullish breakout and prompt some technical buying.

The USD/JPY pair might then aim to retest YTD tops, around the 111.00 neighbourhood. The momentum could further get extended towards the next relevant hurdle near the 111.50-55 region, though bulls might be reluctant to place aggressive bets ahead of the FOMC.

On the flip side, the 109.70-65 horizontal zone now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the triangle support, currently near the 109.40-35 region. Sustained weakness below will negate any near-term positive bias and turn the USD/JPY pair vulnerable.

The next relevant support is pegged near the 109.00 round figure, below which the USD/JPY pair could extend the corrective slide further towards the 108.70-60 support zone.

USD/JPY daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price110.05
Today Daily Change-0.01
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open110.06
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.4
Daily SMA50109.12
Daily SMA100108.12
Daily SMA200106.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High110.1
Previous Daily Low109.61
Previous Weekly High109.84
Previous Weekly Low109.19
Previous Monthly High110.2
Previous Monthly Low108.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%109.91
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.8
Daily Pivot Point S1109.75
Daily Pivot Point S2109.44
Daily Pivot Point S3109.26
Daily Pivot Point R1110.24
Daily Pivot Point R2110.41
Daily Pivot Point R3110.73

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.