USD/JPY gains some ground on BoJ intervention prospects

USD/JPY declined more than 0.30% towards 147.20.
Initial Jobless Claims for the first week of September came in lower than expected.
Masato Kanda didn’t rule out an intervention to stop JPY’s weakness.

Patricio Martín FXStreet

On Thursday’s session, the USD/JPY slightly fell towards the 147.20 area, driven by the growing expectations of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) taking action to stop the JPY’s decline. On the other hand, the USD is consolidating, but hawkish bets on the Federal Reserve (Fed) limit the downside for the Greenback.

The US Bureau of Labour Statistics reported that the number of people filing for unemployment benefits increased but was lower than expected. The actual figure came in at 216,000 vs. the 234,000 expected and was lower than the previous weekly reading of 229,000.

Meanwhile, the USD measured by the DXY index holds above the 105.00 zone, its highest level since March. On the other hand, US Treasury yields slightly retreated but remained in weekly highs after yesterday’s rally following the strong ISM PMI figures from the US from August. In that sense, the CME FedWatch tool suggests that markets still bet on higher odds of one last hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in this cycle, and the odds of a 25 basis point in November and December stan near 40%.

However, those expectations may change after next week’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures from the US from August.

On the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) front, Reuter reported that Japan's top currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, stated that the Japanese banking authorities are considering an intervention to end “speculative” movements. In that sense, in case the BoJ steps in, the JPY may see some upside, but monetary policy divergences seem to be the main reason for Yen’s weakness. Furthermore, on Friday, investors will see Japan's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Q2 revision figures.

USD/JPY Levels to watch

Observing the daily chart, the USD/JPY displays signs of bullish exhaustion, leading to a neutral to bearish technical perspective. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) displays a negative slope in the bullish territory, hinting at a potential shift in momentum, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) exhibits shorter green bars. In the broader context, the pair is above the 20,100,200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), highlighting the continued dominance of bulls on the broader scale.

Support levels: 147.00, 146.50, 146.10 (20-day SMA).

Resistance levels: 147.50, 148.00, 148.50.

USD/JPY Daily Chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price	147.18
Today Daily Change	-0.48
Today Daily Change %	-0.33
Today daily open	147.66

Trends
Daily SMA20	146
Daily SMA50	143.43
Daily SMA100	140.91
Daily SMA200	136.96

Levels
Previous Daily High	147.82
Previous Daily Low	147.02
Previous Weekly High	147.38
Previous Weekly Low	144.44
Previous Monthly High	147.38
Previous Monthly Low	141.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	147.32
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	147.51
Daily Pivot Point S1	147.18
Daily Pivot Point S2	146.7
Daily Pivot Point S3	146.38
Daily Pivot Point R1	147.98
Daily Pivot Point R2	148.3
Daily Pivot Point R3	148.78

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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