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USD Index trades higher around 101.80 with a negative sentiment, US data eyed

  • US Dollar Index faces negative sentiment due to the expected dovish stance from the Fed.
  • Subdued US GDP data increased the chances of the Fed’s rate cuts in early 2024.
  • Fed members rejected the speculation of rate cuts in early 2024.
  • Traders await Core PCE - Price Index data to gain more cues on the US economic scenario.

US Dollar Index (DXY) attempts to retrace the recent losses, trading higher near 101.90 during the early European session on Friday. The recent release of mixed economic data from the United States (US) on Thursday has strengthened expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to adopt a more accommodative monetary policy in the first quarter of 2024. This anticipation is putting downward pressure on the US Dollar (USD).

The latest data from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) indicates that Gross Domestic Product Annualized (GDP) eased at a rate of 4.9%, contrasting with the expected consistency at 5.2%. Additionally, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey recorded a decline of 10.5 readings in December, exceeding the expected decline of 3.0 and the 5.9 figure decline in November. On a positive note, Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on December 15 were 205K, below the expected 215K.

The elevated expectations of interest rate cuts seem to stem from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) dovish stance in its latest meeting. While the central bank officials have communicated a cautious approach and discouraged premature conclusions, there is a recognition of the need for time before potential rate cuts. Philadelphia Fed Bank President Patrick Harker has contributed to this dialogue by expressing openness to the possibility of lowering interest rates.

Market participants will likely observe Friday’s slew of economic data releases including the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index data, which are anticipated to print softer numbers.

Dollar Index Spot: technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price101.82
Today Daily Change0.07
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open101.75
 
Trends
Daily SMA20103.13
Daily SMA50104.56
Daily SMA100104.6
Daily SMA200103.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High102.45
Previous Daily Low101.74
Previous Weekly High104.27
Previous Weekly Low101.77
Previous Monthly High107.11
Previous Monthly Low102.47
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%102.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%102.18
Daily Pivot Point S1101.5
Daily Pivot Point S2101.26
Daily Pivot Point S3100.79
Daily Pivot Point R1102.22
Daily Pivot Point R2102.69
Daily Pivot Point R3102.93

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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