|

USD Index Price Analysis: A deeper pullback is seen below 104.00

-  DXY resumes the decline and puts 104.00 to the test.

-  Extra losses appear on the cards on the breach of 104.00.


DXY reverses two consecutive daily advances and resumes the downward bias on Friday.

In case bears regain control, the breakdown of the November low of 103.98 (November 14-15) should pave the way for a quick test of the critical 200-day SMA at 103.61 prior to the weekly low of 102.96 (August 30).

In the meantime, while above the key 200-day SMA, the outlook for the index is expected to remain constructive.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price104.12
Today Daily Change54
Today Daily Change %-0.25
Today daily open104.38
 
Trends
Daily SMA20105.75
Daily SMA50105.83
Daily SMA100104.19
Daily SMA200103.62
 
Levels
Previous Daily High104.56
Previous Daily Low104.01
Previous Weekly High106.01
Previous Weekly Low104.85
Previous Monthly High107.35
Previous Monthly Low105.35
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%104.35
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%104.22
Daily Pivot Point S1104.07
Daily Pivot Point S2103.77
Daily Pivot Point S3103.53
Daily Pivot Point R1104.62
Daily Pivot Point R2104.86
Daily Pivot Point R3105.17

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed near 0.6950 after RBA minutes

AUD/USD attracts follow-through selling during Tuesday’s Asian session, looking to extend the overnight rejection slide from 0.7000, or a two-week top, following the release of RBA meeting Minutes. The US Dollar retains a bullish undertone near its highest level since April 2025 as energy-driven inflation risks keep December Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table. Adding to this, geopolitical risks further underpin the safe-haven USD.

USD/JPY extends retreat below 158.50 as intervention risks loom

USD/JPY is dropping below 158.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday, snapping a two-day winning streak and pulling back from an over two-week top touched the previous day, despite Japan's soft PPI inflation print. Bulls turn cautious amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen, which, in turn, weighs on the pair.

Gold bulls seem hesitant below $4,200 as hawkish Fed offset USD weakness

Gold retains a mildly positive bias though it remains capped below the $4,200 mark and the top boundary of a two-week-old trading range. The US Dollar retreats from its highest level since April 2025 amid some profit-taking, offering support to the precious metal. However, the US Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and escalating Middle East conflicts could limit deeper losses for the safe-haven buck, keeping a lid on the commodity and warranting some caution for aggressive bulls.

Solana reclaims 50-day EMA amid tokenization expansion

Solana (SOL) trades above $107 on Tuesday, reclaiming the 50-day EMA after closing below it the previous day. Meanwhile, Solana’s tokenization expansion and the upcoming listing of Hong Kong’s second spot Solana Exchange Traded Fund highlight growing institutional interest.

Dollar corrects as markets watch bank earnings
The US Dollar remains broadly strong but is now correcting, with a possible retest of the breakout zone around 102 on the Dollar Index. Equity markets are showing a mixed picture: the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are weaker, while blue-chip indices such as the Dow Jones and DAX are moving higher.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?