USD/CNH: Trapped between key MAs, China data fails to impress Yuan bulls

  • USD/CNH is stuck between the 50- and 200-day averages. 
  • CNH is struggling to draw bids despite the upbeat China PMIs. 
  • Risk reset could yield a convincing move below 50-day average. 

USD/CNH is lacking a clear directional bias at press time and seems trapped between the 50- and 200-day averages at 6.9758 and 6.9836, respectively. 

Upbeat PMIs

China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI (Jan) came in at 50, as expected, following December’s reading of 50.2. A reading above 50 indicates expansions while a below=50 reading indicates contraction. 

The gauge managed to avoid a dip into contraction territory in January despite the coronavirus outbreak. 

Meanwhile, the Non-Manufacturing activity picked up pace, as indicated by the uptick in the PMI to 54.1 from December’s 53.5. 

So far, however, the data has done little to strengthen the bid tone around the Yuan, helping the USD/CNH pair hold the 50-day average support at 6.9758. 

The support, however, could be breached during the day ahead if the risk reset in the global equities gathers pace. 

The US stocks posted moderate gains on Thursday after WHO called coronavirus outbreak a global health emergency but backed China’s efforts to contain the virus, calming fears of a global pandemic. 

However, at press time, the futures on the S&P 500 are reporting marginal losses. If markets again turn risk averse, the pair could make another attempt to scale the psychological resistance of 7.00. The pair printed a high of 7.003 on Thursday but closed at 6.9807. 

Technical levels


Today last price 6.9791
Today Daily Change -0.0029
Today Daily Change % -0.04
Today daily open 6.982
Daily SMA20 6.9254
Daily SMA50 6.9759
Daily SMA100 7.0242
Daily SMA200 6.9862
Previous Daily High 7.0039
Previous Daily Low 6.9673
Previous Weekly High 6.9425
Previous Weekly Low 6.8457
Previous Monthly High 7.0879
Previous Monthly Low 6.9048
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 6.9899
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 6.9813
Daily Pivot Point S1 6.9649
Daily Pivot Point S2 6.9478
Daily Pivot Point S3 6.9283
Daily Pivot Point R1 7.0015
Daily Pivot Point R2 7.021
Daily Pivot Point R3 7.0381



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