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USD/CNH: Trapped between key MAs, China data fails to impress Yuan bulls

  • USD/CNH is stuck between the 50- and 200-day averages. 
  • CNH is struggling to draw bids despite the upbeat China PMIs. 
  • Risk reset could yield a convincing move below 50-day average. 

USD/CNH is lacking a clear directional bias at press time and seems trapped between the 50- and 200-day averages at 6.9758 and 6.9836, respectively. 

Upbeat PMIs

China’s NBS Manufacturing PMI (Jan) came in at 50, as expected, following December’s reading of 50.2. A reading above 50 indicates expansions while a below=50 reading indicates contraction. 

The gauge managed to avoid a dip into contraction territory in January despite the coronavirus outbreak. 

Meanwhile, the Non-Manufacturing activity picked up pace, as indicated by the uptick in the PMI to 54.1 from December’s 53.5. 

So far, however, the data has done little to strengthen the bid tone around the Yuan, helping the USD/CNH pair hold the 50-day average support at 6.9758. 

The support, however, could be breached during the day ahead if the risk reset in the global equities gathers pace. 

The US stocks posted moderate gains on Thursday after WHO called coronavirus outbreak a global health emergency but backed China’s efforts to contain the virus, calming fears of a global pandemic. 

However, at press time, the futures on the S&P 500 are reporting marginal losses. If markets again turn risk averse, the pair could make another attempt to scale the psychological resistance of 7.00. The pair printed a high of 7.003 on Thursday but closed at 6.9807. 

Technical levels

USD/CNH

Overview
Today last price6.9791
Today Daily Change-0.0029
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open6.982
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.9254
Daily SMA506.9759
Daily SMA1007.0242
Daily SMA2006.9862
 
Levels
Previous Daily High7.0039
Previous Daily Low6.9673
Previous Weekly High6.9425
Previous Weekly Low6.8457
Previous Monthly High7.0879
Previous Monthly Low6.9048
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.9899
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.9813
Daily Pivot Point S16.9649
Daily Pivot Point S26.9478
Daily Pivot Point S36.9283
Daily Pivot Point R17.0015
Daily Pivot Point R27.021
Daily Pivot Point R37.0381

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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