|

USD/CNH Price Analysis: Upside extension running out of steam

  • The upside is meeting a strong level of resistance and the focus is back on the downside.
  • USD/CNH bears are looking for a return to the mean of the daily bullish impulse. 

USD/CNH's momentum has slowed in the run to a resistance structure that was marked as old support across a daily time line.

The bears are looking for bearish conditions to be confirmed on the lower time frames in order to target the W-formation's neckline. 

Daily chart

The price is tempting the bear's commitments at the juncture at a familiar area of support which would now be expected to act as resistance. 

The W-formation's neckline has a confluence with the 50% mean reversion point as an attractive target area. 

1-hour chart

From a 1-hour perspective, the price first needs to break support and the bullish 21-moving average, and in doing so, the path will be clear for a high probability trade day-trading set-up from a bearish structure and with a favourable risk-reward ratio.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1600

EUR/USD clings to its decent gains on Monday and continues to move in a consolidative mood around the 1.1600 region. Improved risk appetite following the US-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz continues to weigh on the US Dollar, lending support to the risk complex. Looking ahead, investors are likely to remain on the sidelines ahead of Wednesday's FOMC meeting.

GBP/USD retreats from tops, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD keeps its advance past the 1.3400 yardstick at the beginning of the week. In the meantime, Cable continues to draw support from improved market sentiment following reports that the US and Iran have reached a framework agreement aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold stays firm, still below $4,400

Gold builds on its recent gains on Monday, climbing well north of the $4,300 mark per troy ounce. The yellow metal benefits from renewed selling pressure on the Greenback as investors reassess the implications of the US-Iran agreement to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Market participants now turn their attention to Wednesday's FOMC gathering.


Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP recovery gathers strength as US-Iran reach peace agreement

Cryptocurrency prices remain broadly elevated on Monday, led by Bitcoin’s upswing toward $66,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror Bitcoin’s momentum, trading above $1,700 and $1.18.

Indonesia may have stabilised the Rupiah, but the bigger fight is not over

Bank Indonesia’s emergency rate hike has bought the Rupiah some time, but the currency’s hesitant response suggests it has not yet restored confidence. Can higher interest rates solve the Rupiah’s problem, or do the country’s challenges run deeper?

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.