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USD/CNH Price Analysis: Rebounds from 11-week low but bulls remain unconvinced

  • USD/CNH picks up bids to refresh intraday high, snaps three-day downtrend.
  • 100-DMA, two-week-old resistance line guard recovery moves.
  • Key Fibonacci retracement levels are on the bear’s radar.

USD/CNH takes the bids to renew intraday high with 6.4551, up 0.10% on a day, after China’s Caixin Services PMI and Composite PMI disappointed traders during early Friday.

That said, China Caixin Services PMI dropped to 46.7 versus 52.6 expected and 54.9 prior in August. This dragged the Caixin Composite PMI to 47.2 versus 53.1 prior. It’s worth observing that China data dropped to the lowest since published in May.

It should be noted, however, that 100-DMA and a descending resistance line from August 20, respectively around 6.4560 and 6.4620, become tough nuts to crack for the USD/CNH buyer’s entry.

Even as the pair crosses the 6.4620 hurdle, the early August lows near 6.4960 and the 6.5000 round figure will challenge the upside moves.

On the contrary, sellers will wait for a fresh multi-day low, below the latest 6.4468, to take new entries.

Following that, 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of May–July upside, respectively around 6.4410 and 6.4200, will entertain the USD/CNH bears.

Overall, USD/CNH remains on the bear’s radar unless crossing the 6.5000 threshold.

USD/CNH: Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price6.4566
Today Daily Change0.0082
Today Daily Change %0.13%
Today daily open6.4484
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.476
Daily SMA506.4746
Daily SMA1006.4569
Daily SMA2006.4786
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6.4592
Previous Daily Low6.4478
Previous Weekly High6.505
Previous Weekly Low6.4592
Previous Monthly High6.5102
Previous Monthly Low6.4473
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.4522
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.4548
Daily Pivot Point S16.4445
Daily Pivot Point S26.4405
Daily Pivot Point S36.4332
Daily Pivot Point R16.4558
Daily Pivot Point R26.4631
Daily Pivot Point R36.4671

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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