|

USD/CNH: Major resistance at 7.3700 is not expected to come into view – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) could edge higher to 7.3550 before levelling off; the major resistance at 7.3700 is not expected to come into view. In the longer run, room for USD to retest the 7.3700 level; it is too early to determine if it can break and remain above this level, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Some room for USD/CNH to retest the 7.3700 level

24-HOUR VIEW: “We noted yesterday (Tuesday) that the price action from Monday ‘did not result in an increase in either downward or upward momentum.’ We expected USD to ‘trade in a sideways range of 7.3210/7.3610.’ USD then traded in a narrower range than expected (7.3310/7.3500), closing largely unchanged at 7.3415 (-0.05%). Despite the quiet price action, upward momentum appears to be building, albeit tentatively. Today, USD could edge higher to 7.3550 before levelling off. The major resistance at 7.3700 is not expected to come into view. Support levels are at 7.3350 and 7.3250.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Yesterday (07 Jan, spot at 7.3465), we pointed out that ‘as long as 7.3050 is not breached, there is room for USD to retest the 7.3700 level.’ We added, ‘at this time, it is too early to determine if USD can break and remain above this level.’ USD then traded in a subdued manner, and we continue to hold the same view for now.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 100-SMA hurdle near 0.7035 as hawkish RBA counters firmer USD

AUD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs to 0.7030 during the Asian session, reversing the previous day's corrective slide from a one-month high as hawkish RBA rate expectations continue to support the Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the 100-day SMA pivotal resistance amid a firmer US Dollar as traders brace for Australia’s September CPI report on Wednesday ahead of the Fed rate decision.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold holds above $4,000 as traders brace for Fed interest rate decision

Gold edges higher during American trading hours on Tuesday after trading in negative territory earlier in the day. A slight decline in Oil prices offers some relief, although a firmer USD limits the upside as traders await the Fed’s monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP on edge as sell-side pressure intensifies

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly correcting on Tuesday, led by Bitcoin (BTC) edging lower below the pivotal $80,000 level. Ethereum (ETH) mirrors Bitcoin’s neutral-to-bearish outlook, while Ripple (XRP) hovers around $1.30.

Experts agree: Fed policy outlook and geopolitical tensions keep US Dollar bid

The US Dollar Index rallies 0.6% in three days and hits fresh two-week highs above 102.00. Investors return to the US Dollar as markets brace for a hawkish hold by the Fed on Wednesday. Waning hopes of any immediate US-Iran peace deal have provided additional support to the safe-haven USD.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.