|

USD/CNH: Likely to trade in a range between 7.1800 and 7.2300 – UOB Group

Increase in momentum is likely to lead to US Dollar (USD) advance, potentially to 7.2130. In the longer run, for now, USD is likely to trade in a range between 7.1800 and 7.2300, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Increase in momentum is likely to lead to USD advance

24-HOUR VIEW: "USD rebounded to 7.1935 two days ago. Yesterday, we noted that 'The rebound lacks momentum, and instead of extending further, USD is likely to trade between 7.1750 and 7.1950.' USD subsequently traded in a 7.1860/7.1990 range. Although USD closed largely unchanged at 7.1928 (+0.01%), it lifted off and surged today. The increase in momentum is likely to lead to further advance, potentially to 7.2130. The next resistance at 7.2300 is probably out of reach. To maintain the momentum, USD must hold above 7.1900 (minor support is at 7.1980)."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "On Monday (26 May, spot at 7.1770), we indicated that 'while downward momentum has not increased significantly, as long as 7.2070 (‘strong resistance’ level) is not breached, the bias for USD is on the downside toward 7.1500. After USD dropped to 7.1626 and rebounded, we indicated yesterday (28 May, spot at 7.1880) that 'downward momentum is slowing and a breach of 7.2020 would mean that the downward bias has faded.' USD rose above 7.2020 today. For now, we expect USD to trade in a range, most likely between 7.1800 and 7.2300."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD: The 0.7000 region holds the downside, for now

AUD/USD has started the week in a negative fashion, giving away part of Friday’s uptick and refocusing on the downside. The pair’s daily decline has come on the back of the another firm performance of the Greenback, although it has met some decent contention near the 0.7000 neighbourhood.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold holds on just above $4,000

Gold clings to daily gains, leaving behind two daily drops in a row and reclaiming the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce and above on Monday. The better tone in the US Dollar and mixed US Treasury yields accompany the precious metal’s uptick, while declining crude oil prices appear to sustain the bounce for now.

Bitcoin vs Gold: BTC springs above $80K as XAU tops $4,000 amid low compressed volatility
Bitcoin (BTC) is bouncing back above $80,000 on Monday, while Gold (XAU/USD) is springing above the pivotal $4,000 level, up a modest 0.34% and 0.64%, respectively. Both assets are advancing amid low volatility as market participants position ahead of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decision on Wednesday and earnings from several major tech companies.
Everyone's bracing for a hawkish central bank week. Here's why the surprise could be dovish

Five of the world's major central banks are preparing to announce monetary policy decisions this week, with investors increasingly anticipating higher interest rates as the global energy shock continues to push inflation above target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.