|

USD/CHF remains depressed below 0.8700 with US PMI data on tap

  • The Dollar remains on the defensive, capped below 0.8700.
  • The Fed’s Dovish turn keeps weighing on the USD.
  • US ISM PMIs and the NY Fed index might increase dollar volatility later today.

The US Dollar’s attempt to bounce up from multi-month lows remains capped below the 0.8700 mark. The pair’s bearish momentum remains intact with the market awaiting the release of the preliminary US S&P Global PMIs and the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index.

The Dollar remains weighed by the Fed’s dovish pivot

The Federal Reserve signaled the end of rate hikes on Wednesday and the interest rate projections suggested a median of 75 bps rate hikes in 2024. This has boosted investors’ appetite for risk, sending the US Dollar sharply lower across the board.

Later today, the US NY Manufacturing Index and December’s Preliminary PMIs are expected to show a mild deterioration. This endorses the view of a soft landing, which allows the Fed to roll back its restrictive policy and might increase negative pressure on the USD.

In Switzerland, the SNB kept rates on hold on Thursday and lowered inflation expectations. The bank’s statement was seen as dovishly-tilted, which allowed some respite to the pair.

From a technical perspective, the pair maintains its bearish bias intact with the RSI above oversold levels, which allows for further decline.

Bulls are now testing 0.8660. Below here, 0.8555 is a key support level.
On the upside, resistances are at 0.8730 and 0.8815.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8667
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open0.8668
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8776
Daily SMA500.891
Daily SMA1000.8906
Daily SMA2000.8939
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.8732
Previous Daily Low0.863
Previous Weekly High0.8821
Previous Weekly Low0.8667
Previous Monthly High0.9113
Previous Monthly Low0.8685
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8669
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8693
Daily Pivot Point S10.8622
Daily Pivot Point S20.8575
Daily Pivot Point S30.852
Daily Pivot Point R10.8723
Daily Pivot Point R20.8778
Daily Pivot Point R30.8825

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.