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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Resistance at 0.8075 remains in focus as dips find buyers

  • USD/CHF remains bid above 0.8050, with 0.8075 resistance under pressure.
  • The Swiss Franc remains on the back foot after the downbeat Swiss employment report released on Monday.
  • Technically, the pair is in an A-B-C correction, following a 5-wave bullish cycle.

The US Dollar (USD) trades higher for the second consecutive day against the Swiss Franc (CHF). Downdside attempts remain shallow so far, amid a calm market mood, and the immediate trend shows a mild bullish stance, with resistance at the 0.8075 area under pressure.

On the macroeconomic front, data from the Swiss National Bank revealed that Foreign Currency Reserves rose to CHF759 billion in June, from CHF 711 billion in May. 

The Swissie, however, remains weighed by the downbeat employment figures released on Monday, which showed that the Unemployment Rate rose to a five-year high of 3.1%. Later in the day, the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) met expectations with solid growth in activity, while the S&P Global Services PMI revealed an unexpected slowdown.

Technical Analysis: Looking for direction above 0.8050

Chart Analysis USD/CHF

USD/CHF is in a corrective phase after completing a 5-wave (Elliot Wave) bullish cycle, with momentum indicators showing mixed signals. The daily chart reflects a constructive Relative Strength Index (14), near 58, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has slipped marginally into negative territory.

Bulls need to break resistance around 0.8075 (June 26, 30 lows and July 6 high) to confirm the completion of the corrective phase, and shift focus towards the late June and early July highs, between 0.8120 and 0.8135.

On the downside, a bearish reaction below 0.8045 session lows would add pressure towards Friday's trading floor at the 0.8010 area. If this level gives way, an A-B=C-D correction would target the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement off the bullish run, just above 0.7900.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)

Swiss Franc Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Swiss Franc (CHF) against listed major currencies this week. Swiss Franc was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.10%-0.23%0.37%0.17%-0.06%0.39%0.43%
EUR-0.10%-0.36%0.26%0.04%-0.13%0.25%0.28%
GBP0.23%0.36%0.50%0.39%0.23%0.61%0.63%
JPY-0.37%-0.26%-0.50%-0.24%-0.32%0.02%0.02%
CAD-0.17%-0.04%-0.39%0.24%-0.10%0.27%0.24%
AUD0.06%0.13%-0.23%0.32%0.10%0.38%0.41%
NZD-0.39%-0.25%-0.61%-0.02%-0.27%-0.38%0.02%
CHF-0.43%-0.28%-0.63%-0.02%-0.24%-0.41%-0.02%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Swiss Franc from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CHF (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

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