|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Clears the 50/100-DMAs on its way to 0.9700

  • USD/CHF holds to its gains above the 50 and 100-DMA.
  • The USD/CHF daily chart illustrates the pair as neutral biased.
  • In the 4-hour chart, unsuccessfully tests of the 20-EMA on the downside keep the USD/CHF tilted upwards.

USD/CHF advances during the North American session, up by 0.31%, bolstered by a strong US dollar, despite a release of mixed US economic data ahead of the so-awaited Jerome Powell speech at Jackson Hole. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9662, above its 50 and 100-day EMAs.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The daily chart illustrates price action in the last couple of days as range-bound, about to form a “bearish-harami” candle pattern, which would pose downward pressure on the major. Nevertheless, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 58.65 exerts upward pressure on the pair, meaning that the best way to trade the USD/CHF from a daily chart perspective is to expect a break of the previous high/low and wait for a re-test of the breakout.

The 4-hour chart paints a different picture. The USD/CHF has been advancing steadily since August 11, until Tuesday, when the USD/CHF printed a negative day. Nevertheless, it’s worth noting that the day’s low pierced the 20-EMA of the 4-hour chart, stalling the major’s dive before consolidating for a re-test. Today, the USD/CHF re-tested the previously-mentioned moving average, and for the second consecutive time, USD/CHF buyers lifted prices to current price levels.

However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 61.73, aiming downwards could keep the USD/CHF risks skewed to the downside. But if the USD/CHF breaks above the August 23 high at 0.9692, that will expose the 0.9700 figure, followed by the R2 daily pivot at 0.9730.

USD/CHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9662
Today Daily Change0.0024
Today Daily Change %0.25
Today daily open0.9638
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9539
Daily SMA500.9627
Daily SMA1000.9653
Daily SMA2000.9445
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9692
Previous Daily Low0.9603
Previous Weekly High0.9598
Previous Weekly Low0.9409
Previous Monthly High0.9886
Previous Monthly Low0.9502
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9637
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9658
Daily Pivot Point S10.9597
Daily Pivot Point S20.9555
Daily Pivot Point S30.9507
Daily Pivot Point R10.9686
Daily Pivot Point R20.9734
Daily Pivot Point R30.9775

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.