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USD/CAD struggles near one-week lows, around mid-1.3100s

  • A combination of factors continued weighing on USD/CAD for the second straight session.
  • The USD witnessed aggressive long-unwinding trade ahead of the US presidential election.
  • A strong rally in crude oil prices underpinned the loonie and aggravated bearish pressure.

The USD/CAD pair dived to one-week lows, around the 1.3140-35 region during the mid-European session, albeit recovered few pips thereafter.

The pair added to the previous day's heavy losses and witnessed some follow-through selling for the second consecutive session on Tuesday. The downfall was sponsored the some aggressive US dollar long-unwinding trade and a strong intraday pickup in crude oil prices, which tend to underpin demand for the commodity-linked currency – the loonie.

Heading into the election day in the US, the markets now seem to have started pricing in a victory for Democratic nominee Joe Biden, who is expected to spend big on stimulus. This, in turn, prompted the USD bulls to lighten their bets and was seen as one of the key factors that continued exerting some heavy pressure on the USD/CAD pair.

Adding to this, the prevalent upbeat market mood – despite growing worries about the economic fallout from fresh coronavirus-induced lockdowns – further dented the greenback's relative safe-haven status. The risk-on flow was evident from a bullish trading sentiment around the equity markets and reinforced by a pickup in the US Treasury bond yields.

Meanwhile, crude oil prices rallied over 3% on Tuesday and recovered further from multi-month lows touched in the previous session on reports that Russian oil firms may agree to an extension of OPEC+ production cuts. This was also cited as another factor that benefitted the loonie and contributed to the USD/CAD pair's intraday downfall.

Tuesday's decline could further be attributed some technical selling on a sustained break below the 1.3200 round-figure mark. However, slightly oversold conditions on hourly charts helped limit further losses ahead of the key event risk. That said, the USD/CAD pair still seems vulnerable to slide further and aim back to challenge the 1.3100 mark.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3158
Today Daily Change-0.0072
Today Daily Change %-0.54
Today daily open1.323
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3201
Daily SMA501.3207
Daily SMA1001.3327
Daily SMA2001.3546
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.337
Previous Daily Low1.3226
Previous Weekly High1.339
Previous Weekly Low1.3125
Previous Monthly High1.339
Previous Monthly Low1.3081
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3281
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3315
Daily Pivot Point S11.318
Daily Pivot Point S21.3131
Daily Pivot Point S31.3035
Daily Pivot Point R11.3325
Daily Pivot Point R21.342
Daily Pivot Point R31.3469

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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