|

USD/CAD: Still holds below the 1.37 area – Scotiabank

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) and the MXN are lagging, along with the soft USD again, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

USD/CAD resistance is 1.3750/75

“The CAD is still holding below the 1.37 area, however, and made some progress through the upper 1.36s overnight before easing back. Weaker crude prices may temper CAD gains in the short run. The broader risk backdrop appears positive, although US equity futures are showing only marginal gains on the day so far.”

“Our fair value estimate for the CAD continues to shift favourably and sits at 1.3621 this morning, however. The CAD-constructive shift in factors driving the currency outlook should help curb near-term USD rebounds.”

“Spot losses through noted USD support (retracement and 40-day MA) around 1.3725 have prompted the anticipated drop in funds to 1.3675 (the last retracement support ahead of a return to 1.36). The CAD has given up some of those overnight gains in early trade here but the loss of support in the low 1.37s tilts risks towards some additional—perhaps grinding—CAD gains. USD/CAD resistance is 1.3750/75.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold defends 200-day SMA at $4,425, but for how long?

Gold is attempting a tepid recovery toward $4,500 early Thursday, as renewed optimism in the Mideast geopolitical front calms market nerves. This cautious optimism across Asian markets weighs on Oil prices, and diminishes the US Dollar’s safe-haven appeal, helping Gold stage a decent comeback from the weekly low of $4,424.

 

Hyperliquid: ETF demand, capital rotation fuel HYPE rally as Bitcoin melts

Hyperliquid price sustains an upward trend near its all-time high of $75.76 on Thursday after posting 80% gains in May, while Bitcoin (BTC) retraces below $65,000, triggering a market-wide panic.

Kevin Warsh takes the Fed helm: What it means for the US Dollar
The Federal Reserve moves away from the highly predictable "forward guidance" model of the Jerome Powell era to a new “Kevin Warsh environment”, characterized by less communication, more policy surprises, and an increased focus on the Fed's complex balance sheet.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.