|

USD/CAD sticks to modest intraday gains, lacks follow-through amid bullish Oil prices

  • USD/CAD regains some positive traction on Friday amid a modest pickup in the USD demand.
  • Thursday’s upbeat US macro data fuels hawkish Fed expectations and benefits the Greenback.
  • Bullish Crude Oil prices continue to underpin the Loonie and keep a lid on any further gains.
  • Traders now eye the US PCE report for a fresh impetus ahead of the FOMC meeting next week.

The USD/CAD pair attracts some buyers on Friday and reverses a part of the previous day's slide to the 1.3300 mark, or its lowest level since November 17. The pair sticks to its intraday gains through the early European session and is currently placed near the daily top, just below mid-1.3300s.

The US Dollar draws support from the mostly upbeat US macro data released on Thursday and edges higher on the last day of the week, which, in turn, is acting as a tailwind for the USD/CAD pair. In fact, the US Commerce Department reported that the economy expanded at a 2.9% annualised pace during the fourth quarter against consensus estimates for a reading of 2.6%. The stronger-than-expected growth figures could allow the Fed to maintain its hawkish stance for longer. This pushes the US Treasury bond yields higher and continues to benefit the Greenback.

The markets, however, still seem convinced that the Fed will slow the pace of its policy-tightening and deliver a smaller 25 bps rate hike in February. This holds back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Apart from this, the underlying bullish sentiment surrounding Crude Oil prices is underpinning the commodity-linked Loonie. The aforementioned factors should contribute to capping any meaningful upside for the USD/CAD pair. Traders might also prefer to wait for the release of the US Core PCE Price Index, due later during the early North American session.

The key focus, however, will remain glued to the outcome of the highly-anticipated two-day FOMC policy meeting, scheduled to be announced next week. In the meantime, the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment will drive the USD demand. Apart from this, Oil price dynamics should provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair and assist traders to grab short-term opportunities.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3335
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open1.3324
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3445
Daily SMA501.3504
Daily SMA1001.3522
Daily SMA2001.3205
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3408
Previous Daily Low1.3303
Previous Weekly High1.3521
Previous Weekly Low1.3351
Previous Monthly High1.3705
Previous Monthly Low1.3385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3343
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3368
Daily Pivot Point S11.3282
Daily Pivot Point S21.324
Daily Pivot Point S31.3178
Daily Pivot Point R11.3387
Daily Pivot Point R21.345
Daily Pivot Point R31.3492

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends slide to fresh 2026-low near 1.3150

GBP/USD resumes its downside in the second half of the day on Wednesday and trades at its lowest level since November 2025 near 1.3150. The pair remains vulnerable amid a broadly firmer US Dollar and chaotic UK political environment. The focus is now on BoE-speak for further trading impetus.

EUR/USD slumps to new yearly low below 1.1350

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades at its lowest level in a year below 1.1350 on Wednesday. The pair remains vulnerable to further declines amid a bullish US Dollar, which continues to draw support from hawkish Fed bets and US-Iran peace deal uncertainty.

Gold closes in on $4,000 on persistent USD strength

Gold remains under persistent selling pressure and trades at its lowest level since November near $4,000 on Wednesday, losing more than 2.5% on the day. Hawkish Fed pricing, broad-based US Dollar strength and the uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran peace agreement make it difficult for the precious metal to find a foothold.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade under pressure as September Fed rate-hike odds increase

Bitcoin is trading between $62,000 and $63,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by headwinds stemming from macroeconomic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

5.90% to 5.45%: Why the Pound ignored the bond market’s relief rally

Keir Starmer resigned on Monday, and the Pound barely moved. That near-silence is the tell. Sterling's real driver these past four months has not been the prime minister, nor the left-leaning frontrunner lining up to replace him, but the long end of the gilt curve, which answers to a force no British politician controls.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.

USD/CAD sticks to modest intraday gains, lacks follow-through amid bullish oil prices