|

USD/CAD sticks to gains around mid-1.3300s, upside remains capped amid rising Oil prices

  • USD/CAD bounces off the weekly low touched earlier this Friday, though lacks follow-through.
  • An uptick in the US bond yields revives the USD demand and offers some support to the major.
  • A goodish pickup in Oil prices underpins the Loonie and keeps a lid on any meaningful recovery.

The USD/CAD pair attracts some buying near the 1.3315-1.3320 region and stages a modest recovery from a fresh weekly low touched earlier this Friday. The pair sticks to its gains around the 1.3350 region through the early North American session and for now, seems to have snapped a three-day losing streak, albeit lacks bullish conviction.

A modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields helps the US Dollar to gain some positive traction on the last day of the week, which, in turn, is seen offering some support to the USD/CAD pair. That said, growing acceptance that the Fed will slow the pace of its policy tightening is holding back the USD bulls from placing aggressive bets and capping the upside for the major.

It is worth recalling the November Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes released on Wednesday revealed that officials were largely satisfied they could stop front-loading the rate increases. This, in turn, reaffirms bets for a relatively smaller 50 bps rate hike at the next FOMC policy meeting in December. Apart from this, a generally positive risk tone keeps a lid on the safe-haven Greenback.

Furthermore, a goodish pickup in Crude Oil prices underpins the commodity-linked Loonie and further acts as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair amid relatively thin trading volumes. In the absence of any major market-moving economic release, either from the US or Canada, the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before positioning for any further intraday positive move.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.335
Today Daily Change0.0012
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open1.3338
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3449
Daily SMA501.3566
Daily SMA1001.3267
Daily SMA2001.3008
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3362
Previous Daily Low1.3316
Previous Weekly High1.3409
Previous Weekly Low1.3226
Previous Monthly High1.3978
Previous Monthly Low1.3496
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3334
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3345
Daily Pivot Point S11.3315
Daily Pivot Point S21.3293
Daily Pivot Point S31.327
Daily Pivot Point R11.3361
Daily Pivot Point R21.3384
Daily Pivot Point R31.3407

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps bullish vibe, first upside barrier emerges above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1755 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The European Central Bank kept rates unchanged at its December policy meeting, and its outlook suggested less urgency for further cuts, which has provided some support to the Euro against the US Dollar. 

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).