|

USD/CAD recovers above 1.34 as crude oil selloff picks up steam

  • CAD gathers strength on upbeat retail sales data on Wednesday.
  • Crude oil falls sharply after EIA reports large build in inventories.
  • Coming up: FOMC May meeting minutes.

After spending a large portion of the day in a relatively tight range near the 1.34 mark, the USD/CAD pair turned south after today's data from Canada provided a boost to the CAD. However, following the dip to 1.3350 area, the pair gained traction and rose to a daily high of 1.3420 as the commodity-sensitive loonie failed to preserve its strength amid the sharp drop witnessed in crude oil prices. As of writing, the pair was up 0.1% on the day at 1.3418.

Earlier today, Statistics Canada reported that retail sales (excluding autos) increased by an impressive 1.7% on a monthly basis in March to beat the market expectation of 0.9%, which allowed the CAD to outperform its rivals.

In its weekly report, the U.S. Energy Information Administration said that commercial crude oil inventories rose by 4.7 million barrels compared to experts' forecast for a draw of 0.6 million barrels and weighed on crude oil prices. The barrel of West Texas Intermediate was last seen trading at $61.30, losing 2.6% on a daily basis.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index is posting modest daily gains above the 98 handle while waiting for the FOMC to publish the minutes of its May meeting. "As the Fed has clearly communicated that it expects to be on hold for some time, focus will likely be mainly on the reasoning behind the surprise cut in the Interest on Excess Reserves (IOER),” Danske Bank analysts said previewing this event.

Key technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3418
Today Daily Change0.0013
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open1.3405
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3452
Daily SMA501.3395
Daily SMA1001.3334
Daily SMA2001.325
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3434
Previous Daily Low1.3396
Previous Weekly High1.3514
Previous Weekly Low1.34
Previous Monthly High1.3522
Previous Monthly Low1.3274
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.341
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.342
Daily Pivot Point S11.3389
Daily Pivot Point S21.3373
Daily Pivot Point S31.335
Daily Pivot Point R11.3428
Daily Pivot Point R21.3451
Daily Pivot Point R31.3467

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD slumps below 1.1750 as USD benefits from risk-aversion

EUR/USD comes under renewed bearish pressure in the European session and trades below 1.1750 following a recovery attempt earlier in the day. The US Dollar gathers strength and weighs on the pair as investors seek refuge in the wake of Israel and the United States' joint attack on Iran.

GBP/USD targets 1.3500 barrier near moving averages

GBP/USD rebounds from the daily losses, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair trades within a descending channel pattern.

Gold surges on safe-haven demand, rises above $5,400

Gold benefits from intense risk-aversion on Monday and climbs above $5,400, setting a fresh monthly-high in the process. Tensions in the Middle East remain high as Israel and Hezbollah continue to exchange strikes following the US-Israel joint attack on Iran over the weekend.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple under pressure as key supports face breakdown risk

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices trade on the back foot at the start of this week on Monday, after extending losses in the previous week. BTC is on the brink of a breakdown, ETH is capped below key resistance, and XRP risks a crack of the trendline.

The market is paying for insurance, not apocalypse

As expected, this morning felt less like a Monday market open and more like a fire drill. Futures screens flickered red. S&P contracts down almost 1%. Nasdaq off 1.2%. Brent leaped 13% through $80. Gold rose 1.6% toward $5350 before paring some gains. The dollar is strutting mildly. The Swiss franc is quietly doing what it always does in a storm, catching some safe-haven flows.

Pi Network Price Forecast: Core team offloads supply, weighing on PI recovery

Pi Network  hovers below $0.1700, broadly steady at press time on Monday, attempting a recovery after a 2% loss the previous day. Sunday’s decline aligned with nearly 49 million PI tokens offloaded by the Pi Foundation, implying a spike in supply pressure that capped the prevailing four-day recovery.