|

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Holds losses below 1.4200 within overbought zone

  • USD/CAD may rebound toward the initial barrier at the 14-month high of 1.4248.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index of 75.3 signals overbought conditions, hinting that the recent advance is vulnerable to a near-term corrective pullback.
  • The pair may find primary support at the nine-day EMA of 1.4155.

USD/CAD loses ground for the third successive day, trading around 1.4180 during the early European hours on Monday. The pair continues its losing streak after pulling back from 14-month highs. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the pair is remaining within the ascending channel pattern, signaling an ongoing bullish bias.

The USD/CAD pair is retaining a bullish near-term bias as it holds above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The alignment of price above these short- and medium-term EMAs suggests ongoing upside pressure, although the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 75.3 signals overbought conditions, hinting that the latest advance could be vulnerable to consolidation or a corrective pullback.

The USD/CAD pair may rebound toward the 14-month high of 1.4248, reached on June 24, aligned with the upper boundary of the ascending channel. A sustained break above this confluence resistance zone would open the door for further gains toward 1.4400.

The primary support lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.4155. A break below the short-term price average would weaken the price momentum and put downward pressure on the pair to test the lower boundary of the ascending channel around 1.4020. Further declines would explore the region around the 50-day EMA at 1.3924.

Chart Analysis USD/CAD
USD/CAD: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Canadian Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Canadian Dollar (CAD) against listed major currencies today. Canadian Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.21%-0.17%0.03%-0.09%-0.09%-0.27%-0.13%
EUR0.21%0.04%0.26%0.11%0.14%-0.06%0.08%
GBP0.17%-0.04%0.21%0.08%0.08%-0.12%0.04%
JPY-0.03%-0.26%-0.21%-0.12%-0.14%-0.34%-0.17%
CAD0.09%-0.11%-0.08%0.12%-0.01%-0.21%-0.07%
AUD0.09%-0.14%-0.08%0.14%0.00%-0.19%-0.04%
NZD0.27%0.06%0.12%0.34%0.21%0.19%0.16%
CHF0.13%-0.08%-0.04%0.17%0.07%0.04%-0.16%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Canadian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent CAD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near 0.6950 after Australian trade data

AUD/USD consolidates near a two-month low, trading around mid-0.6900s in the Asian session on Thursday amid a bullish US Dollar. The US PCE data tempered October Fed hike bets, though oil-driven inflation fears remain supportive of elevated US bond yields. Meanwhile, Australia's trade surplus shrank sharply in August to AUD495M, having limited impact on the Aussie Dollar and the pair.


USD/JPY sits at weekly top above 158.00 as bullish USD counters intervention risks

USD/JPY is sitting at the top end of its weekly range above 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday. Despite the softer US PCE data, oil-driven inflation risks keep US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs. Moreover, the US-Iran standoff benefits the safe-haven US Dollar and supports the pair. Broad US Dollar strength counters hawkish BoJ expectations and Japanese intervention risks.

Gold alternates gains with losses below $4,200

Gold trades without a clear direction on Thursday, always below the key $4,200 mark per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s vacillating price action comes amid the marked advance in the US Dollar coupled with steady effervescence in the Middle East conflict.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP struggle to regain momentum amid returning ETF outflows

Bitcoin trades broadly between support at $82,500 and resistance at $85,000. Ethereum similarly remains under pressure, trading below $2,700 while the $2,600 level provides immediate support. At the same time, Ripple has slipped below the pivotal $1.50 level.

Markets are pricing a Fed pause. The jobs data says the hike is still coming

The market has rapidly changed its mind about the Fed. Only a week ago, investors saw an October interest-rate hike as the most likely outcome. However, softer inflation and cautious comments from policymakers have since turned a pause into the dominant scenario.

Markets are pricing a Fed pause. The jobs data says the hike is still coming
The market has rapidly changed its mind about the Federal Reserve (Fed). Only a week ago, investors saw an October interest-rate hike as the most likely outcome. However, softer inflation and cautious comments from policymakers have since turned a pause into the dominant scenario. Yet beneath that dramatic repricing, the US economy is sending a considerably less dovish message.