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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Struggles to gain momentum beyond 1.3200, eyes on FOMC

  • USD/CAD struggles to gain momentum beyond the 1.3200 area on Wednesday.
  • The pair holds below the 50- and 100-hour EMAs with a downward slope.
  • The immediate resistance level is seen at 1.3200; the initial support level is located at 1.3145.

The USD/CAD pair attracts some follow-through buying but struggles to gain momentum beyond the 1.3200 area during the Asian session on Wednesday. Traders await the closely-watched Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled later in the North American session. The major pair is trading at 1.3185, gaining 0.09% for the day.

The Conference Board survey revealed that US consumer confidence reached a two-year high in July. The figure rose to 117.0 from 110.1 (revised from 109.7) in June, the highest reading since July 2021. The data bolstered optimism that the economy could avoid a recession this year. This, in turn, could support the greenback and cap the upside in the commodity-linked Loonie.

According to the four-hour chart, the path of least resistance for the USD/CAD is to the downside as the major pair holds below the 50- and 100-hour Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) with a downward slope. Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands slightly above 50, highlighting the non-directional movement of the pair.

That said, the immediate resistance level is seen at 1.3200, representing the confluence of a psychological round mark and the 100-hour EMA. Any meaningful follow-through buying above the latter will see a rally to the next barrier at 1.3230 (High of July 17). Following that, the June 15 swing high of 1.3355 will be in focus. The 1.3390–1.3400 zone appears to be a tough nut to crack for USD/CAD.

Looking at the downside, any extended weakness below 1.3145 (Low of July 25) will challenge the next downside filter at 1.3120 (Low of July 20) and 1.3090 (Low of July 14).

USD/CAD four-hour chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3183
Today Daily Change0.0011
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open1.3172
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3222
Daily SMA501.3321
Daily SMA1001.3441
Daily SMA2001.3471
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3209
Previous Daily Low1.3147
Previous Weekly High1.3244
Previous Weekly Low1.312
Previous Monthly High1.3585
Previous Monthly Low1.3117
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3185
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3171
Daily Pivot Point S11.3143
Daily Pivot Point S21.3114
Daily Pivot Point S31.308
Daily Pivot Point R11.3205
Daily Pivot Point R21.3238
Daily Pivot Point R31.3268

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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