USD/CAD: Little chance of rebounding – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed to start the week. There is no incentive to push the CAD higher at this point while yield differentials remain so favourable for the USD so stability or, more likely, more CAD softness are the only alternatives for spot trends in the short run, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

CAD steadies while spreads remain wide

“Spot is sitting close to estimated fair value today (1.4122). Note that BoC rate cuts have rekindled the domestic housing market. October home sales rose 7.7% over September to reach the highest level in more than two years.”

“USD/CAD is consolidating just below 1.41. Price trends remain broadly USD-bullish following last week’s strong close. There are no signs on the short– or longer-term charts that the USD rally is poised to reverse at this point and while oscillator signals are still extending deeper into overbought levels, these conditions can persist for extended periods of time.”

“Minor dips will remain wellsupported. Key support is 1.3945/50. Longer run trends are leaning towards a retest of the 2020 high just under 1.47.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD gains traction to near 1.1800 as tariff uncertainty weighs on US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground around 1.1795 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar weakens against the Euro amid US tariff uncertainty. The release of the US January Producer Price Index report will be in the spotlight later on Friday.

GBP/USD treads water near 1.3500 as BoE-Fed divergence debate stalls

GBP/USD spent Monday spinning in place as market participants await a fresh catalyst to break the pair out of its recent range. The BoE's February hold came with a surprisingly dovish 5-4 split, and UK Consumer Price Index data last week showed inflation easing to 3.0%, reinforcing the case for earlier rate cuts, with most economists now looking to April or March for the next move.

Gold falls below $5,200 amid pullback from monthly highs

Gold price is back under the $5,200 level in the Asian session on Tuesday, pulling back from the highest level in four weeks reached at $5,250 earlier on. The Gold price upsurge was fuelled by heightened geopolitical tensions and global trade uncertainty following US tariff decisions. However, an improvement in risk sentiment and a fresh US Dollar upswing trigger a corrective decline in the yellow metal.

Solana DeFi platform Step Finance to close operations following treasury hack

The Solana based decentralized finance platform Step Finance announced it will end all operations effective immediately following a breach that drained its treasury.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

XRP recovers slightly as bearish sentiment dominates crypto market

Ripple is rising above $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid fresh tariff-triggered headwinds in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off to $1.33, the token’s intraday low, can be attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and risk-averse sentiment among other factors.