|

USD/CAD flirts with session lows, around 1.2670 region post-Canadian CPI

  • USD/CAD witnessed some selling on Wednesday and eroded a part of the overnight gains.
  • Bullish oil prices underpinned the loonie and exerted pressure amid renewed USD weakness.
  • Mixed Canadian CPI report failed to influence or provide any meaningful impetus to the pair.

The USD/CAD pair remained depressed below the 1.2700 mark through the early North American session and had a rather muted reaction to the mixed Canadian CPI report.

A combination of factors failed to assist the USD/CAD pair to capitalize on the previous day's rebound from the post-US CPI swing lows to the 1.2600 mark, instead exerted some pressure on Wednesday. An extension of the recent bullish run in crude oil prices underpinned the commodity-linked loonie. Apart from this, renewed US dollar selling bias acted as a headwind for the major.

The USD continues to be weighed down by reduced bets for an imminent Fed taper announcement at the upcoming FOMC monetary policy meeting on September 20-21. The repricing of the likely timing of the Fed's tapering move was evident from a softer tone around the US Treasury bond yields, which, along with the underlying bullish sentiment, undermined demand for the safe-haven greenback.

The USD bulls failed to gain any respite from Wednesday's release of the stronger-than-expected Empire State Manufacturing Index, which jumped to 34.3 for the current month from 18.3 previous. From Canada, the headline CPI surpassed expectations and rose 4.1% YoY, though was offset by a slight disappointment from the Bank of Canada's core CPI print, coming in at a 3.5% YoY rate.

Wednesday's US economic docket also features the release of Industrial Production figures and Capacity Utilization rate. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment, might influence the USD. Traders will further take cues from oil price dynamics to grab some short-term opportunities around the USD/CAD pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2687
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1.2695
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2647
Daily SMA501.2586
Daily SMA1001.2393
Daily SMA2001.2525
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2698
Previous Daily Low1.2601
Previous Weekly High1.2762
Previous Weekly Low1.2518
Previous Monthly High1.2949
Previous Monthly Low1.2453
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2661
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2638
Daily Pivot Point S11.2631
Daily Pivot Point S21.2567
Daily Pivot Point S31.2534
Daily Pivot Point R11.2729
Daily Pivot Point R21.2762
Daily Pivot Point R31.2826

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1750 as traders await FOMC Minutes

The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1770 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Traders continue to price in the prospect of further rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve in 2026, following the 25-basis-point rate reduction delivered at the December meeting. The release of the Federal Open Market Committee Minutes will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold rebounds to near $4,350 after Monday's 4+% correction

Gold is bouncing to near $4,350 early Tuesday, helped by renewed US Dollar weakness and a dismal mood. Gold was hit sharply by profit-taking on Monday during US trading hours and retreated towards $4,300, where buyers reappeared.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).