|

USD/CAD consolidates below 1.2200 mark, awaits Canadian CPI/FOMC

  • Expectations for a less dovish Fed acted as a tailwind for the USD and extended some support to USD/CAD.
  • The ongoing bullish run in oil prices underpinned the loonie and kept a lid on any meaningful gains for the pair.
  • Market participants look forward to Canadian consumer inflation figures for some impetus ahead of the FOMC.

The USD/CAD pair bounced around 15-20 pips from the early European session lows and was last seen hovering near the top end of its daily trading range, just below the 1.2200 mark.

A modest downtick in the US Treasury bond yields kept the US dollar bulls on the defensive through the first half of the trading action on Wednesday. However, expectations for a less dovish Fed helped put a tentative floor under the greenback and extended some support to the USD/CAD pair.

Investors now seem to have started pricing in the prospects for an earlier stimulus withdrawal amid worries about rising inflationary pressure. The concerns were further fueled by Tuesday's US Producer Price Index, which rose 0.8% MoM in May and accelerated 6.6% on a yearly basis.

Meanwhile, the supporting factor, to some extent, was offset by the prevalent strong bullish sentiment surrounding crude oil prices, which tend to underpin the commodity-linked loonie. This, in turn, seemed to be the only factor that might cap any meaningful upside for the USD/CAD pair.

Investors might also prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the highly-anticipated FOMC policy decision, due later during the US session. This will play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics in the near-term and provide a fresh directional impetus to the USD/CAD pair.

Heading into the key event risk, traders will confront the release of the latest Canadian consumer inflation figures. This, along with crude oil prices, will be looked upon for some meaningful trading opportunities during the early North American session.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2186
Today Daily Change0.0003
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1.2183
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2094
Daily SMA501.2249
Daily SMA1001.2442
Daily SMA2001.2725
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2204
Previous Daily Low1.213
Previous Weekly High1.2178
Previous Weekly Low1.2057
Previous Monthly High1.2352
Previous Monthly Low1.2013
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2176
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2158
Daily Pivot Point S11.2141
Daily Pivot Point S21.2098
Daily Pivot Point S31.2066
Daily Pivot Point R11.2215
Daily Pivot Point R21.2247
Daily Pivot Point R31.229

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

CLARITY Act approval odds sink fast ahead of Congressional hearing
The United States (US) House Financial Services Committee’s Subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology, and Artificial Intelligence (AI) is holding a hearing titled “Building the Future of Finance: How the CLARITY Act Unlocks Innovation” on Friday.
Week ahead – Could technology earnings revive equities as geopolitical risks linger?

Oil prices rise, but the dollar posts losses as Middle East tensions persist. US earnings, the ECB and UK newsflow dominate next week’s agenda. US equity markets face a pivotal test as focus shifts to technology earnings.

-0.4%: Why the biggest CPI drop since 2020 couldn't buy back a single cut

The June CPI fell 0.4% on the month, the largest one-month decline since April 2020, dragging the annual rate to 3.5% from May's 4.2% and snapping a three-month acceleration streak. Core prices went nowhere, flat on the month and down to 2.6% YoY, both under consensus.