USD/BRL: Real well supported, but market turmoil and political uncertainties create volatility – Commerzbank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

An attractive real interest rate is supporting the Brazilian Real, but financial market turmoil and political uncertainties remain dragging factors, economists at Commerzbank report.

Attractive real interest rate supports BRL

“Given an attractive Brazilian real interest rate, we see the Real well supported, although current market turbulence and political uncertainties are likely to create volatility.”

“Political risks, fiscal policy problems and a potentially more expansionary central bank after BCB President Neto's term ends at the end of 2024 are likely to weigh on the longer-term BRL outlook.”

Source: Commerzbank Research

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD drops below 1.1600 on broad USD strength

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades at a fresh six-week low below 1.1600 on Tuesday. Despite stronger-than-forecast inflation data from the Eurozone, the pair struggles to stage a rebound as the US Dollar continues to attract safe haven flows amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

GBP/USD attacks 1.3300, refreshing three-month lows

GBP/USD is deep in the red near 1.3300, accelerating its downside to renew three-month lows in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar capitalizes on increased haven demand.

Gold drops below $5,200 on stronger USD, rallying US yields

Gold attracts some intraday selling and falls below $5,200 on Tuesday. The US Dollar climbs to a fresh high since January 20 and turns out to be a key factor exerting downward pressure on the commodity. Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield rises nearly 2% on the day, putting additional weight on XAU/USD's shoulders.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pull back as sentiment remains in extreme market fear

The cryptocurrency market is broadly in the red on Tuesday as the Middle East grapples with an escalating war. Bitcoin (BTC) is in a pullback, trading below $67,000 at the time of writing, and most altcoins follow suit.

Middle East conflict ramps up a gear as energy price spike rips through markets

It’s another risk off day as geopolitical headwinds continue to batter financial markets. Although markets calmed during the US session and US stocks managed to post gains on Monday, this has not fed through to the European session, and stocks and bonds are sharply lower for a second day.

Hyperliquid Price Forecast: HYPE rises on commodities demand amid US-Iran war

Hyperliquid (HYPE) steadies above $33 at press time on Tuesday, marking its fourth consecutive day of recovery in a broadly volatile market due to the ongoing US-Israel strikes on Iran.