|

US equities wobble as investors brace for the Fed, S&P 500 back below $4,450

  • US equities trade tightly, fall back into recent ranges as Fed looms large.
  • The Federal Reserve is set to keep rates steady for this meeting.
  • FOMC to release their latest inflation expectations looking forward.

It’s all eyes on the Federal Reserve (Fed) for this week as the latest interest rate call on Wednesday from the Fed hangs over the markets. US equities were broadly back, albeit softly, and indexes spread towards the middle as investors brace for an updated playbook from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).

The Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P) slipped ten points to give up the $4,450.00 handle, settling the day down near $4,430.00 (-0.22%); The NASDAQ tech composite index declined 32 points to end the day near $13,678.00 (-0.23%); and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) slid over 105 points to end Tuesday at $34,517.00 (-0.31%).

Stocks down, yields up ahead of Fed

As equity indexes backslid, treasury yields climbed again, with the 2-year note rising to 5.092 and the 10-year lifting to 1.365.

Wednesday will see the latest interest rate call from the Fed, where markets are broadly anticipating the US central bank to hold steady on their benchmark rates.

However, the FOMC will also be dropping its economic projections as well as its updated interest rate outlook. The data docket will be followed by the FOMC’s press conference 30 minutes later where investors will be keeping a close eye out for any changes in the Fed’s rhetoric stance.

S&P 500 technical outlook

Daily candlesticks have the major equity index firmly testing the bounds of a rising trendline, and an extended bearish slide could see the S&P kick into a further leg down to test the last swing low below $4,350.00.

Bullish momentum sees descending resistance from the upside as lower highs price in a ceiling north of the $4,500.00 handle.

The 100-day Simple Moving Average is on the rise, clearing $4,375.00 and could provide support for renewed bullish momentum in the index looking forward.

S&P 500 daily chart

S&P 500 technical levels

SP 500

Overview
Today last price4441.66
Today Daily Change-10.73
Today Daily Change %-0.24
Today daily open4452.39
 
Trends
Daily SMA204463.14
Daily SMA504484.59
Daily SMA1004376.57
Daily SMA2004190.52
 
Levels
Previous Daily High4464.19
Previous Daily Low4439.5
Previous Weekly High4514.93
Previous Weekly Low4445.7
Previous Monthly High4590.64
Previous Monthly Low4337.34
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%4448.93
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%4454.76
Daily Pivot Point S14439.86
Daily Pivot Point S24427.34
Daily Pivot Point S34415.17
Daily Pivot Point R14464.55
Daily Pivot Point R24476.72
Daily Pivot Point R34489.24

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps the red near 0.6950 after weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD holds losses near 0.6950 on disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold rebounds firmly as China Treasuries-buying report smashes US yields

Gold stages a solid comeback from weekly lows, retakes $4,150 early Thursday. US Dollar declines sharply alongside Treasury yields on China’s bond-buying report. Technically, the daily RSI remains bearish and a headwind for Gold buyers.

Zcash declines as US inflation surprise offsets fresh ETF inflows
Zcash (ZEC) is trading in the red on Friday, extending its previous day’s roughly 6% losses as the broader cryptocurrency market falls on rising US inflation. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) print came in higher than expected, at an annual increase of 3.7% versus the expected 3.6%, raising concerns about inflation and rate hikes.
China seems routing US Treasury holdings through Canada

According to a Bloomberg report, China seems to be moving United States securities to non-US custodian banks in other countries, masking its role in financing US deficits.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?