|

US Dollar Index falls to near 97.00 near three-year lows

  • The US Dollar Index has fallen to 96.98, the lowest since March 2022, as recorded on Monday.
  • The US Dollar loses ground as traders expect that the Fed will start cutting interest rates in September.
  • President Trump said that “One great big beautiful bill is moving along nicely!”

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is continuing its losing streak that began on June 19, while trading around 97.20 during the European hours on Monday. Traders await US employment figures scheduled to be released later in the week, which may further offer fresh impetus on the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook.

The US Nonfarm Payrolls report is expected to show the economy added 110,000 new jobs in June, down from 135,000 in May. The estimated range is currently between a high of 140,000 and a low of 75,000. Moreover, Unemployment is anticipated to tick higher to 4.3% from 4.2%.

The US Dollar struggles amid rising expectations of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates at the September meeting. Data showed on Friday that US Personal Spending unexpectedly fell in May, the second decline this year. Meanwhile, US Personal income dropped by 0.4% in May, the largest decrease since September 2021.

US President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social on Monday, saying, “One great big beautiful bill is moving along nicely!” The Trump Administration has gotten costs down, very substantially, for the American Consumer. There has never been anything like this!

The US Dollar received downward pressure from Friday’s dovish comments from the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Neel Kashkari, who noted that he was sticking to his view that cooling inflation would allow the Fed to cut its policy rate twice that year, beginning in September.

However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted last week that Trump's tariff policies may cause a one-time price hike, but they could also lead to more persistent inflation. The Fed should be careful in considering further rate cuts.

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.05%0.05%-0.22%-0.14%0.01%-0.24%0.00%
EUR-0.05%-0.04%-0.24%-0.20%-0.06%-0.28%-0.05%
GBP-0.05%0.04%-0.41%-0.16%-0.02%-0.26%-0.01%
JPY0.22%0.24%0.41%0.09%0.29%0.03%0.28%
CAD0.14%0.20%0.16%-0.09%0.10%-0.10%0.17%
AUD-0.01%0.06%0.02%-0.29%-0.10%-0.24%0.00%
NZD0.24%0.28%0.26%-0.03%0.10%0.24%0.25%
CHF-0.01%0.05%0.01%-0.28%-0.17%-0.01%-0.25%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.