|

S&P/TSX 60 Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

S&P/TSX 60 Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Orange Wave 1.

Position: Navy Blue Wave 3.

Direction next lower degrees: Orange Wave 2.

Details: Navy Blue Wave 2 appears complete; Orange Wave 1 of 3 is now in play.

Wave cancel/invalidation level: 1339.

The daily chart analysis indicates a strong bullish scenario for the S&P/TSX 60 index as it progresses into a new impulsive structure. Currently, Orange Wave 1 is forming within the larger Navy Blue Wave 3, suggesting the previous correction of Navy Blue Wave 2 has completed, paving the way for an extended upward leg.

The confirmation of Navy Blue Wave 2’s completion signals that bullish momentum is building. Orange Wave 1 is gaining traction, displaying early signs of a powerful bullish impulse. A key invalidation level is set at 1339; any drop below this would require reevaluating the wave structure or acknowledging a more complex correction.

This outlook offers traders valuable positioning insight during a likely profitable early phase. With further upside expected before the next correction (Orange Wave 2), market participants should monitor momentum and price behavior while applying disciplined risk control as the structure unfolds.

S&P/TSX 60 Elliott Wave analysis – Day chart

Chart

S&P/TSX 60 Elliott Wave technical analysis

Function: Bullish Trend

Mode: Impulsive

Structure: Navy Blue Wave 3

Position: Gray Wave 3

Direction next lower degrees: Navy Blue Wave 4

Details: Navy Blue Wave 2 appears complete; Navy Blue Wave 3 of 3 is now in play.

Wave cancel/invalidation level: 1339.

The weekly chart presents a robust bullish view for the S&P/TSX 60, showing impulsive price action typical of a major third wave. Navy Blue Wave 3 is now developing within a broader bullish framework labeled as Gray Wave 3, following the successful completion of Navy Blue Wave 2’s corrective phase.

This suggests the index is now entering the most aggressive segment of the bullish trend. The impulsive behavior signals institutional interest and increasing buying strength. The 1339 level remains a critical invalidation threshold, helping to define the bullish scenario's risk boundary.

Investors should consider this a favorable phase in the Elliott sequence, where Wave 3 often delivers the most substantial gains. Anticipation of Navy Blue Wave 4, a corrective follow-up, should inform position sizing and risk management strategies as the rally matures.

S&P/TSX 60 Elliott Wave analysis – Weekly chart

Chart

S&P/TSX 60 Index Elliott Wave technical analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1900 as USD recovers

EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day, below 1.1900 in the European session on Thursday. A modest rebound in the US Dollar is weighing on the pair, despite an upbeat market mood. Traders keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further trading impetus. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

\GBP/USD moves little while holding above 1.3600 in the European session on Thursday, following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed a 0.1% growth against a 0.2% increase expected. The UK industrial sector activity deteriorated in Decembert, keeping the downward pressure intact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses as reduced March Fed rate cut bets underpin USD

Gold languishes near the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session on Thursday. The precious metal, however, lacks follow-through selling amid mixed cues and currently trades above the $5,050 level, well within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched the previous day.

Cardano eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.