Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD sticks to gains around $32.35 area, bullish bias remains
- Silver regains positive traction following an Asian session dip to sub-$32.00 levels.
- Acceptance above the 100-day SMA and positive oscillators favor bullish traders.
- Any corrective pullback could be seen as a buying opportunity and remain limited.
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts dip-buyers near the $31.90 region at the start of a new week and stalls its retracement slide from the highest level since October 30, around the $33.35-$33.40 area touched on Friday. The white metal sticks to positive bias through the first half of the European session and currently trades around the $32.35 zone, up nearly 0.50% for the day.
From a technical perspective, the recent breakout through the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the emergence of fresh buying on Monday favor bullish traders. Moreover, positive oscillators on the daily chart suggest that the path of least resistance for the XAG/USD remains to the upside. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for some follow-through strength beyond the $32.55 horizontal barrier before positioning for any further gains.
The XAG/USD might then aim to conquer the $33.00 round figure and climb further towards retesting Friday's swing high, around the $33.35-$33.40 region. The momentum could extend further towards the $34.00 mark en route to the next relevant hurdle near the $34.45 zone and the $35.00 neighborhood, or the multi-year peak touched in October.
On the flip side, weakness below the Asian session low, around the $31.90 area, might still be seen as a buying opportunity and remain limited near the 100-day SMA, currently pegged near the $31.20 region. Some follow-through selling, leading to a slide below the $31.00 mark, might shift the near-term bias in favor of bearish traders and pave the way for deeper losses. The XAG/USD might then test the $30.25 support before eventually dropping to the $30.00 psychological mark en route to the $29.55-$29.50 horizontal zone.
Silver daily chart
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Author
Haresh Menghani
FXStreet
Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.
