Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD sees a dead cat bounce as technical setup favors bears


  • GameStop sell-off led bounce in XAG/USD fizzles above the $27 mark.
  • Silver looks south again amid bearish crossover and likely bear flag on 1H chart.  
  • XAG bears target 200-HMA as RSI stays below the midline.

Silver (XAG/USD) has stalled its overnight recovery mode over the last hours, as the bulls are struggling to find acceptance above the $27 mark.

The XAG sellers have returned despite a broad-based US dollar retreat, as the GameStop (GME) sell-off led bounce in the white metal appears to have fizzled.

Shares in GameStop collapsed 60% on Tuesday as it appeared the retail-trade induced short squeeze was coming to an end. 

Additional downward pressure on Silver comes in from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) maintenance margin hike of 18% announced early Monday.

Silver Price Chart: Hourly 

From a short-term technical perspective, Tuesday’s slide in Silver that following a minor bounce has carved a bear flag formation on the one-hour chart, with an hourly closing below the rising trendline support at $26.77 to validate a downside break.

The bear flag breakdown would open floors for a retest of critical support around $26.30, the convergence of Tuesday’s low and horizontal 200-hourly moving average (HMA).

If the sellers find a foothold below that level, a test of the $25 level could be on the cards. The downside bias is backed by a bearish crossover, as 21-HMA has pierced the 100-HMA from above.

Further, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) looks south below the midline, allowing room for more declines.

Alternatively, buyers need to find acceptance above the $27.20/30 zone, which is the confluence of the 100-HMA and rising trendline resistance, in order to revive the recovery momentum.

The next line of defense for the XAG bears is seen at $27.85, the horizontal trendline resistance. Further up, the bearish 50-HMA at $28.10 could challenge the bulls’ commitment.

Silver Additional levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 27.00
Today Daily Change 0.57
Today Daily Change % 2.16
Today daily open 26.43
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 25.89
Daily SMA50 25.36
Daily SMA100 24.83
Daily SMA200 22.92
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 29.13
Previous Daily Low 26.28
Previous Weekly High 27.66
Previous Weekly Low 24.7
Previous Monthly High 27.92
Previous Monthly Low 24.19
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 27.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 28.04
Daily Pivot Point S1 25.43
Daily Pivot Point S2 24.43
Daily Pivot Point S3 22.58
Daily Pivot Point R1 28.28
Daily Pivot Point R2 30.13
Daily Pivot Point R3 31.13

 

 

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