|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD recovers but stalls below the 200-day EMA, as RSI remains bearish

  • Silver struggles below the 200-day EMA, trading nearly flat.
  • Bearish indicators suggest downward potential despite some buying pressure.
  • A daily close above 200-day EMA could spark a rebound to $23.00.

Silver price advances sharply during the week, though as the Asian session begins, the XAG/USD is facing solid resistance at the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $22.94. That said, the Silver (XAG/USD) spot is trading at $22.77, almost flat, at the time of writing.

XAG/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

XAG/USD shifted bearish once it fell below the 200-day EMA and beneath the May 26 daily low of $22.68. Even though XAG/USD hovers above the latter, a daily close above it’s required to keep buyers hopeful of reclaiming higher prices, like the 200-day EMA, ahead of the $23.00 barrier.

Nevertheless, the XAG/USD’s path of least resistance is downward biased, as shown by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, at bearish territory. At the same time, the three-day Rate of Change (RoC) portrays some buying pressure lifted the XAG/USD.

That said, the XAG/USD first support would be $22.68. A breach of the latter will expose the XAG/USD last week’s low of $22.11 before dropping beneath the $22.00 mark. Conversely, if XAG/USD achieves a daily close above the 200-day EMA, the XAG/USD could challenge $23.00 as the first resistance. Break above will expose the 20-day EMA at $23.31, followed by the 100-day EMA at $23.45.

XAG/USD Price Action – Daily chart

XAG/USD Daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price22.78
Today Daily Change0.34
Today Daily Change %1.52
Today daily open22.44
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.54
Daily SMA5024.19
Daily SMA10023.32
Daily SMA20022.49
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.68
Previous Daily Low22.11
Previous Weekly High24.2
Previous Weekly Low22.11
Previous Monthly High26.14
Previous Monthly Low22.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.47
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%22.33
Daily Pivot Point S122.14
Daily Pivot Point S221.84
Daily Pivot Point S321.57
Daily Pivot Point R122.71
Daily Pivot Point R222.98
Daily Pivot Point R323.28

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple enter the New Year with breakout hopes

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple entered the new year trading at key technical levels on Friday, as traders seek fresh directional cues in January. With BTC locked in a tight range, ETH is approaching its 50-day Exponential Moving Average, while XRP is nearing resistance. A clear breakout across these top three cryptocurrencies could help define market momentum in the opening weeks of the year.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).